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Posted inStatistics

Middle Ground Between Precautionary Principle & Inaction

From reader (and listener!) Phil Pilkington (there asterisks are original): Hi Matt, Loved your speech. Hyperskeptical Economist that I am, M Taleb did us some great favours in outlining the…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

More Reasons Not To Use The Precautionary Principle: Update

All probability is conditional and we are always interested in some proposition, call it X. We want to know "the probability of X". Well, there is none: not ever. There…
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Is Mandatory Vaccination Against COVID-19 Precautionary? — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
Posted inPhilosophy

Is Mandatory Vaccination Against COVID-19 Precautionary? — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp

This post originally ran at Hanekamp's own site1. He is a chemist and theologian. My love and I are fortunate enough to have three children, now in their twenties. They…
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Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus
Posted inStatistics

Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus

Background Some blue check journalist named Ferris Jabr, in a raw display of sobriety for a member of the Indigo Cheka, said None of this is to belittle what is…
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Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement Should Be Covert Says Academic Who Says Ticks Should Be Genetically Modified To Stop You Eating Meat
Posted inStatistics

Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement Should Be Covert Says Academic Who Says Ticks Should Be Genetically Modified To Stop You Eating Meat

My heart soared like a hawk by the hundreds of supportive comments I got on Twitter from last week's story about two academics who want government to genetically modify ticks…
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Somebody Might Get Hurt!
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Somebody Might Get Hurt!

For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…
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We Put Some Uncomfortable Questions To Those Who Say There Is A Dutch Nitrogen “Crisis”
Posted inStatistics

We Put Some Uncomfortable Questions To Those Who Say There Is A Dutch Nitrogen “Crisis”

A group of us put some hard questions to the Netherlands Council of State, asking how they knew there was a nitrogen "crisis." Yes, this is about political matters in…
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Top Scientists Plead For Someone To Calculate The Probability Of The End Of The World
Posted inStatistics

Top Scientists Plead For Someone To Calculate The Probability Of The End Of The World

Here's how the AP climate doom article starts: Experts are ignoring the worst possible climate change catastrophic scenarios, including collapse of society or the potential extinction of humans, however unlikely,…
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  1. N.S. Palmer on Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective EthicsJuly 17, 2026

    "Some moral beliefs are universally true because they are based on human nature. However, these beliefs are essentially factual beliefs:…

  2. PonderPoints on A New Physics Arises: Irreducible by Federico Faggin ReviewedJuly 17, 2026

    You argue that Faggin is right to reject mechanistic emergence but wrong to award consciousness to every field or “seity,”…

  3. John Pate on University of California Prof Tries To Save System From DIEingJuly 15, 2026

    I don't believe China to be hampered by such nonsense or, for that matter, much of S.E.A. in general.

  4. Rudolph Harrier on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 15, 2026

    I don't find LLMs to be particular bad at D&D in comparison to other things. For example, I queried an…

  5. JohnK on Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective EthicsJuly 15, 2026

    Does one detect the sea-captain's lurking circularity in this "we" who "need air, gravity, food..." etc.? And don't "we" also…

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