Posted inStatistics
How Did We Do On Our 2021 Predictions?
How'd we do? Put it this way: none of us would have won any awards. Here is the list so you can follow along (perhaps open in a new window).…
Posted inCulture
The Magic Of Science — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
There always comes a time when everything becomes clear. Even in the fog of battle. That thought defined the night of Sept. 14th, when Gavin Newsom retained his governor’s chair…
Posted inStatistics
Mathematicians Can’t Solve Reality Equation, Want To Ban Predictive Policing
Remember how, despite warnings to the contrary, many of you thought STEM was safe from the holiness spirals and vice signaling working its way through academic like salmonella through a…
Posted inStatistics
Amazon’s AI Proves Men Better Than Women At Tech Jobs
Item Amazon scraps secret AI recruiting tool that showed bias against women (Thanks to Mark Charters for the tip.) Amazon.com Inc's (AMZN.O) machine-learning specialists uncovered a big problem: their new…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Judea Pearl Is Wrong On AI Identifying Causality, But Right That AI Is Nothing But Curve Fitting
Yep I've disagreed with Judea Pearl before on causality, and I do so again below; but first some areas of agreement. Some deep agreement at that. Pearl has a new…
Posted inStatistics
Uploading Ourselves Into Machines Is Impossible
Turns out Marvin Minsky, the AI guy, was one of Jeffrey Epstein's clients. There is an interesting twist to this. The investigator (same as in the above link, from whom…
Posted inPhilosophy
Computers Finding Math Proofs Is Not A Good Idea
It is probably obvious that whether a proposition is (necessarily) true is different than proving, in some formal system, that it is true. It is also clear that if you…
Posted inStatistics
Coronavirus Update XII — Who Has The Right Numbers?
All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
