First, and most strongly, probability need not have anything to do with data. For example, we can compute a value for the probability that "Matt wears a hat" given the…

Pollster: Who will you vote for? Civilian: Oh, I don't know; that guy, the tall one. Pollster: I'll put you down for Obama. The elections in Iowa are over and…

On the earlier poll thread, a reader asked "What's your opinion about the statistical summary of past results of Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primaries?" pointing out data from Neatorama.com.…

Last week we looked at how the polls did in Iowa. How badly did the polls in the New Hampshire race do in yesterday's Democrat primary? Here are the results:…

A couple of days ago I gave out homework. I asked my loyal readers to count how many people walked by them and to keep track of how many of…