Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Ivy League Climate Skeptics
I received this email from Rob Fishman at the Huffington Post. My answer follows. I'm the social media editor here at HuffPost (and a Cornell alum). I came across your…
Posted inStatistics
What Is A “Climate Change Skeptic”? Assist With Definition
As requested by Richard Drake and J Ferguson, who began a conversation on a similar topic last week, this new post asks what is the best "opinion poll-ready definition of…
Posted inCulture Statistics
First Things’ Tournament of Novels: Get ’em While You Can
First Things' Joe Carter is running an amusing contest pitting great (and not so great) novels against one another, knock-out tournament style. As of this writing, he's up to Round…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Trolley Problem And Experimental Philosophy
The Trolley Problem, as given by Eric Schwitzgebel (as part of a larger survey): You are standing by the railroad tracks when you notice an empty boxcar rolling out of…
Posted inStatistics
The Purpose Of All Statistics. Ithaca Teaching Journal, Day5
First, and most strongly, probability need not have anything to do with data. For example, we can compute a value for the probability that "Matt wears a hat" given the…
Posted inStatistics
73.2% of Likely Voters Believe Poll Results
Pollster: Who will you vote for? Civilian: Oh, I don't know; that guy, the tall one. Pollster: I'll put you down for Obama. The elections in Iowa are over and…
Posted inStatistics
How much does winning Iowa and New Hampshire help?
On the earlier poll thread, a reader asked "What's your opinion about the statistical summary of past results of Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primaries?" pointing out data from Neatorama.com.…
Posted inStatistics
Now only 32.8% of people believe the polls: Did New Hampshire let us down?
Last week we looked at how the polls did in Iowa. How badly did the polls in the New Hampshire race do in yesterday's Democrat primary? Here are the results:…
