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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bayesian Statistics Isn’t What You Think

Back to our Edge series. Sean Carroll says Bayes's Theorem should be better known. He outlines the theorem in the familiar updating-prior-belief formula. But, as this modified classic article shows,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Sampling Variability Is A Screwy, Misleading Concept

https://twitter.com/Bigdatanalysis/status/573739862924353536 Because of travel and jet lag, exacerbated by "springing forward", we continue our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles next week. If you can't read the tweet above, it says…
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Posted inStatistics

Monty Hall And This Video Prove Probability Is Measure Of Truth

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C5-I0bAuEUE This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. This post is really an excuse to highlight a cute video that's being…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

I Also Declare The Bayesian vs. Frequentist Debate Over For Data Scientists

I stole the title, adding the word "also", from an article by Rafael Irizarry at Simply Stats (tweeted by Diego Kuonen). First, brush clearing. Data scientists. Sounds like galloping bureaucratic…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: That God Is Goodness Itself

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. This post is one…
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  1. Paul Murphy on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    and the #1 reason to dislike prediction markets is... they can be used like push polls to manipulate opinion -…

  2. Plantagenet on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    Addendum I forgot to mention that since I placed my bet a couple months ago the odds are now on…

  3. Plantagenet on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    At betting shops over here in the UK there seem to be two types of big event bets. The first…

  4. Reasons Not To Like Prediction Markets – William M. Briggs on The Many Horrors, Unintended Consequences & Undesirabilities Of VotingJuly 23, 2024

    […] in the long run. This brings us to the Voting Fallacy, which I wrote about at length here (blog,…

  5. Briggs on Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!July 23, 2024

    TFBW, Fixed. Thanks.

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