David Lavers is the lead author in a GRL paper “A multiple model assessment of seasonal climate forecast skill for applications.” Lavers et al. checked eight different climate models and found that, […]
“The Future of Everything” by David Orrell
The Future of Everything by David Orrell. Thunder’s Mouth Press, New York. I wanted to like this book, which was supposed to be an examination of how well scientists made predictions—my special […]
Asinine comparison of holocaust deniers and honest scientists
Some guy named Joel Connelly at the Seattle Post-Intelligencer has written another one of those “We must do something now” global warming articles. What makes his piece distinct is that he compares […]
A safe, but misleading, prediction about global warming
Reuters’s, on 3 January, had this headline, “2008 to be in top 10 warmest years say forecasters.” A quote: 2008 will be slightly cooler than recent years globally but will still be […]
U.S. Senate Report: Over 400 Skeptical Climate Scientists
The U.S. Senate Committee on Environment & Public Works has released an addendum to its list of 400-plus scientists who express some level of skepticism about man-made global warming. I highlight this […]
What can we learn about global warming from poor reporting?
From today’s Syndney Morning Herald comes the headline: “Global warming to impact health“. First, by impact the reporter almost certainly means influence, a more accurate, but far less energetic and “actionable”, word. […]
AMS conference report: day 3
More on hurricanes today. Jim Elsner, with co-author Tom Jagger, both from Florida State University started off by warning against using naive statistical methods on count data, such as hurricanes. Especially don’t […]
AMS conference report: day 4
The AMS is re-issuing its statement on the necessity of using probability in forecasts. I am on the committee that is re-drafting, or, as they to say, “wordsmithing”, it. If you know […]
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