Search Results for “predictive statistics” – Page 25

Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part II

I hope all understand that we are not just discussing statistics and probability models: what is true here is true for all theories/models (mathematics, physics, chemistry, climate, etc.). Read Part…

Philosophy Statistics

What’s Wrong With Hypothesis Testing: Reader Question

I received this email from long-time reader Ivin Rhyne, which is so well put that I thought we should all see it (I'm quoting with permission): Matt, I just got…

Statistics

Manzi: What Social Science Does—and Doesn’t—Know

This article is nothing but an extended link to a must-read piece in City Journal. Internet still once daily. Thanks to reader I. for suggesting this topic. If you haven't…

Statistics

Gladwell, Gottman, and Abraham on Predicting Divorce

Despite the best efforts of their wives, some married men remain recalcitrant and uncooperative. They refuse to or are incapable of taking their training seriously. Some of these men, who…

Statistics

Climate Model Uncertainty: Part II

Read Part I The Analysis (cont.) Two problems arise when comparing a model's integration (the forecast) with an analysis of new observations, which are not found when comparing the forecast…

Culture Statistics

Do Stricter Gun Laws Lead to More Crime? Brady Gun Law Scorecard & Murder Rates

The final installment of the Liberal Fascism review will appear tomorrow. I was inspired to write this after reading a Mike Adams column, in which he pointed to a Don…

Fun Statistics

Results of Complete Prediction of 2009 NFL Season

Before the 2009 season began, I developed a very simple predictive1 model based solely on each NFL team's historical record. Here is what was said about the model: I used…

Statistics

Homogenization of temperature series: Part V, The real Grand Finale

Be sure to see: Part I, Part II, Part III, Part IV, Part V Much of what we discussed---but not all---is in this picture. Right click and open it in…

Brian ( bulaoren) on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 8, 2026
Ps. When I saw "River's Edge", it reminded me of a, weirdly, morally ambiguous 1950s Hitchcock film (with Jerry "Beaver"…
Cary Cotterman on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 8, 2026
As a child in the 1960s, I tended to get injured more often in warm months than in cold months,…
Brian (bulaoren) on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 8, 2026
Today's subject seems a bit too warm to touch. Well, somebody has to break the ice (9?). I keep remembering…
Tars Tarkas on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 8, 2026
"Our results suggest instead that child neglect is measurably responsive to high temperatures—parents are intentionally or unintentionally allowing their young…
gareth on Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & IntelligenceSeptember 7, 2026
So, was there any actual plant bothering done? Or was this all "thought experiment"? It was not clear to me…