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We’re Almost Always Right; They’re Almost Always Wrong; Yet They’re Always Believed — Coronadoom Update CXI
Posted inStatistics

We’re Almost Always Right; They’re Almost Always Wrong; Yet They’re Always Believed — Coronadoom Update CXI

I PAT MY BACK Before we begin our main update, allow me to congratulate myself. https://twitter.com/MichaelPSenger/status/1472385507099246592 A screenshot of the picture, in case it disappears, is here. I have said…
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Spartacus Speaks; Australian Head Knocking; MI Bright Spot; Causes of Death; More! — Coronavirus Update XCIX
Posted inStatistics

Spartacus Speaks; Australian Head Knocking; MI Bright Spot; Causes of Death; More! — Coronavirus Update XCIX

Last week, there was some good news. This week, it's mostly bad. I AM SPARTACUS I am not the Spartacus, but I am Spartacus. If you have seen the movie,…
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It Was A Situation For Despair: Corruption In The Pharmaceuticals — Guest Post by Robert Yoho
Posted inCulture

It Was A Situation For Despair: Corruption In The Pharmaceuticals — Guest Post by Robert Yoho

It was a situation for despair, but there was no alternative but to keep one’s nerve. --Colonel Heinz-Gunther Guderian, a Panzer commander facing the Allied invaders on D-day WHAT’S GOING…
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God Catches Cooties From Man; Michigone & Oregone Mull PERMANENT Mask Mandate; More — Coronavirus Update LXII
Posted inStatistics

God Catches Cooties From Man; Michigone & Oregone Mull PERMANENT Mask Mandate; More — Coronavirus Update LXII

VATICAN CATCHES A COLD So the Vatican is holding a health conference, promoting it using an image like the one in Michelangelo's Sistine Chapel, where God gives life to man.…
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Model Moronicity, The Mask god & Cuomo’s Cut Throat— Coronavirus Update LIV
Posted inStatistics

Model Moronicity, The Mask god & Cuomo’s Cut Throat— Coronavirus Update LIV

SICK Are you as sick as I am of these damned updates? Of idiot government overreaction and putrid public panic? SUMMARY Tests are dropping, as is positivity: you'd expect positivity…
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  1. Rudolph Harrier on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    It was discussion of voting models that made it easy for me to believe your assertion that there are no…

  2. Paul Murphy on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    and the #1 reason to dislike prediction markets is... they can be used like push polls to manipulate opinion -…

  3. Plantagenet on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    Addendum I forgot to mention that since I placed my bet a couple months ago the odds are now on…

  4. Plantagenet on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    At betting shops over here in the UK there seem to be two types of big event bets. The first…

  5. Reasons Not To Like Prediction Markets – William M. Briggs on The Many Horrors, Unintended Consequences & Undesirabilities Of VotingJuly 23, 2024

    […] in the long run. This brings us to the Voting Fallacy, which I wrote about at length here (blog,…

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