Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Rumsfeld and Keynes on Probability
In 2003, ex-sailor and then Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, said the following: As we know, there are known knowns. There are things we know we know. We also know…
Posted inStatistics
On the Morality of Global Warming Criticism
Paul Krugman, a columnist for the New York Times and winner of a prestigious banking prize (usually mistakenly called a "Nobel"), has said that those who criticize theories of global…
Sussex University: Where You Earn A New Kind of Bachelor’s Degree
In a cost-cutting move, the University of Sussex will largely scrap its History programme. European history will start with 1900. "The university said the cuts were part of a plan…
Posted inFun
Pajamas Media: ‘A Blink of an Eye, Astronomically’: What Does It Actually Mean?
Today's post---as uncontroversial as ever a post can be---is over at Pajamas Media. The tag-line, sweetly provided by the editors, is, "Have humans only been around for 'a blink of…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
All Models Are Not Wrong
George Box said, "Remember that all models are wrong; the practical question is how wrong do they have to be to not be useful." This is usually misremembered as the…
Posted inStatistics
Seasonal Climate Forecasts Do Not Have Skill
David Lavers is the lead author in a GRL paper "A multiple model assessment of seasonal climate forecast skill for applications." Lavers et al. checked eight different climate models and…
Posted inStatistics
R Lectures Update
Lectures are on hold for the next two weeks. I'll be traveling and unable to to create any new award-winning videos. Nor any new non-award-winning videos.
Posted inStatistics
Predictive Statistics: GPA Case Study, Part II
Read Part I : Download the Quirk’s article. To understand why ordinary regression assumptions are bad, we need to look at some (new data) scenarios. Suppose that Bob had a…
