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William M. Briggs

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The Cultural Event Of The Year! Or, What I Did On My Summer Vacation
Posted inFun

The Cultural Event Of The Year! Or, What I Did On My Summer Vacation

No Homework Turned In? I see I mystified most of you last week with that series of technical articles showing how easy it is to generate The Science. Very few…
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The Less You Know About Climate, The More You Cry About Climate
Posted inStatistics

The Less You Know About Climate, The More You Cry About Climate

Some things, the saying goes, are too good to check. Take the peer-reviewed paper "Environmental knowledge is inversely associated with climate change anxiety" by Hannes Zacher and Cort W. Rudolph…
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How The Money & Power Grab Of Global Warming (& Other Crises) Works
Posted inStatistics

How The Money & Power Grab Of Global Warming (& Other Crises) Works

COP26 is upon, beginning this Sunday. The key metric for us is 26. The UN Climate Change Conference number 26. The first Conference of the Parties, or COP1, was in…
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Making Climate Skepticism Illegal: The Regime’s Crackdown On Disinformation
Posted inStatistics

Making Climate Skepticism Illegal: The Regime’s Crackdown On Disinformation

Update https://twitter.com/TaylorLorenz/status/1526933945949990912 Original story. Before we get into this, it is interesting to note that if I had kept my original headline, "Attempting to make global warming skepticism illegal", it…
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The Mann Act: Banning All Fossil Fuels Immediately To Save The Planet
Posted inStatistics

The Mann Act: Banning All Fossil Fuels Immediately To Save The Planet

I don't want us to make too much of the individual behind the brief confession we're about to dissect, because if it wasn't him leading Team Irrationality, it would be…
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Posted inStatistics

How Smoothing Time Series Generates Massive Over-Certainty

Day four of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…
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Climate Change & Gun Violence Research — A Mini-Play In One Act
Posted inCulture

Climate Change & Gun Violence Research — A Mini-Play In One Act

SCENE: A PRESTIGIOUS UNIVERSITY DRAMATIS PERSONAE: TWO AGING PRESTIGIOUS ACADEMICS "Hey, dude, we're, like scientists. Maybe we should, like, do some research." "Yeah, man. Do research." "Do research. We definitely…
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GWPF: How the IPCC Sees What Isn’t There
Posted inStatistics

GWPF: How the IPCC Sees What Isn’t There

I have a new paper with the Global Warming Policy Foundation (if you search for them on Google, that company does not give the url, lest you be corrupted by…
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  1. Briggs on Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!July 23, 2024

    gareth, If n = whatever, and k = 0,1,2,..., n. Then n - k = 0 at the end. And…

  2. gareth on Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!July 23, 2024

    16:43: "0!=1" - eh? n!=n*n-1... if n=0 then n!=0 Please explain or point to links that do :-) Comment: agree…

  3. NLR on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    The thing that gets me about these rationalists is that they seem to think it's still 1998. All the Internet…

  4. Rudolph Harrier on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    It was discussion of voting models that made it easy for me to believe your assertion that there are no…

  5. Paul Murphy on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    and the #1 reason to dislike prediction markets is... they can be used like push polls to manipulate opinion -…

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