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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Reasons Not To Like Prediction Markets
July 23, 2024
Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!
July 22, 2024
Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim Researchers
July 18, 2024
The Enlightenment Was The Beginning Of The Great Leveling: Stove 2
July 17, 2024
Lesson 13: No “Fair” Dice & Jaynes Symmetry
July 16, 2024
Arrest All Stochastic Terrorists In Trump Assassination Attempt & Civilian Murder & Shootings
July 15, 2024
Academics Have Contest To See How Many Times They Can Say ‘Racist’ In An Article: An IQ Story
July 11, 2024
Jon Stewart Proves Democracies Are Undesirable
July 10, 2024
There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1
July 9, 2024
How Did Such A Smart Guy Get So Stupid: Bill Gates & Cow Farts 
July 8, 2024
Testing The Blog Emailer: Please Delete
July 6, 2024
Top Ten Fireworks Tips from the Cult of Safety First!
July 4, 2024
My Origin Story – And More! In Which I’m Interviewed
July 3, 2024
Experts’ Tears Flow
July 2, 2024
Class 12: Psychic Card Guessing & The Proportional Syllogism
July 1, 2024
The Debate: A Key Moment In The History Of Comedy. Plus Predictions
June 28, 2024
Is This The Dumbest Science Ever?
June 27, 2024
Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs
June 26, 2024
The Probability Of Being Accused Of The Hate Crime Of Disparate Impact Approaches 1
June 25, 2024
Class 11: One Son Born Tuesday & Relevance. Update: Homework Added!
June 24, 2024
The Misinformation Dis(mis)course Revisited : The Losing Battle of The Academic Expertocracy — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
June 20, 2024
Posted inStatistics

Reasons Not To Like Prediction Markets

Posted by By Briggs July 23, 2024
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!

Posted by By Briggs July 22, 2024
Continue Reading
The Greatest Reset Movie — In Which Yours Truly Has A Cameo
Posted inCulture

The Greatest Reset Movie — In Which Yours Truly Has A Cameo

Last summer a pair of gentlemen came to interview me about the coronadoom. It was to be for the movie The Greatest Reset. Which is now out. (It's free, but…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: On Matrimony
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: On Matrimony

Previous post. We walk down the aisle this week. Today's lesson is: get married, have babies. ON THE SACRAMENT OF MATRIMONY 1 Now, we grant that by the sacraments men…
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The Non-Wisdom Of Crowds And Voting
Posted inStatistics

The Non-Wisdom Of Crowds And Voting

This post first appeared in modified form on 29 Januarty 2014. It also appears (also modified) in Chapter 4 of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. Have you heard of Mesd-su-Re?…
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The Regime’s Compulsion To Scientific Lunacy Explained (Partly)
Posted inCulture

The Regime’s Compulsion To Scientific Lunacy Explained (Partly)

We met our favorite headline the other day: Climate Change Destroys World, Pregnant People Hardest Hit. A version of that headline rolls off the science press about weekly, now. They…
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The Real Sin Of The Expertocracy With Covid
Posted inCulture

The Real Sin Of The Expertocracy With Covid

You're sick. Not doing at all well. You go to a celebrated doctor (God bless you for trusting him) at a major hospital. Guy was recommended by many as knowing…
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Do We Join In The Insanity, Withdraw, Or Fix It?
Posted inCulture

Do We Join In The Insanity, Withdraw, Or Fix It?

To what extent do you owe loyalty to a once beloved friend, who in his youth was wise and sober and vigorous, but who has now descended into a kind…
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How I Became A  Renegade Scientist
Posted inFun

How I Became A Renegade Scientist

This old picture of myself and a fellow outlaw is given as proof of my deep anti-social propensities. A friend of mine, long ago, would sit and listen to George…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Sacraments Still Count From Bad Priests
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Sacraments Still Count From Bad Priests

Previous post. We took last week off, given most people were (correctly) away from their computers. THAT THE SACRAMENTS CAN BE DISPENSED BY EVIL MINISTERS 1 From what we have…
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  1. NLR on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    The thing that gets me about these rationalists is that they seem to think it's still 1998. All the Internet…

  2. Rudolph Harrier on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    It was discussion of voting models that made it easy for me to believe your assertion that there are no…

  3. Paul Murphy on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    and the #1 reason to dislike prediction markets is... they can be used like push polls to manipulate opinion -…

  4. Plantagenet on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    Addendum I forgot to mention that since I placed my bet a couple months ago the odds are now on…

  5. Plantagenet on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    At betting shops over here in the UK there seem to be two types of big event bets. The first…

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