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Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!
Posted inStatistics

Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!

Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…
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The Reason Why Much Science Is Broken: Every Use Of P-Values Is A Logical Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

The Reason Why Much Science Is Broken: Every Use Of P-Values Is A Logical Fallacy

I made this picture for my talk at the first ever public Broken Science event (videos coming soon): Everybody has heard the saying "correlation doesn't imply causation." Taken loosely, it…
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ChatGPT Only Says What It Was Told To Say
Posted inPhilosophy

ChatGPT Only Says What It Was Told To Say

We covered this before, but there are indications our All Models chant is not effective, or is not believed. Here is another attempt at showing it is true. So, all…
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What Can You Replace P-Values & Hypothesis Testing With, Especially When Computing Sample Sizes?
Posted inStatistics

What Can You Replace P-Values & Hypothesis Testing With, Especially When Computing Sample Sizes?

Dr B asks a question about what to do about sample sizes and hypotheses after the scourge of p-values and null hypothesis significance testing are recognized for what they are.…
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The Only Argument Against P-Values You Will Ever Need
Posted inStatistics

The Only Argument Against P-Values You Will Ever Need

Some two and a half years ago I posted this article: "An Infinity of Null Hypotheses — Another Anti-P-Value Argument". The title is unfortunate; or, rather, the subtitle is. It…
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Reader Experiences With Bad Medical & Finance Models
Posted inStatistics

Reader Experiences With Bad Medical & Finance Models

Anons emails about experience with bad modeling. These read very like posts you see here daily. Lightly edited to remove personal information, with links by me. The post about the…
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Researchers Claim “Climate Change” Causes Currency Vulnerability: An Instance Of Forgotten Uncertainties
Posted inStatistics

Researchers Claim “Climate Change” Causes Currency Vulnerability: An Instance Of Forgotten Uncertainties

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. We know all about models by now, do we not, dear readers? A model, also known as a theory, can be…
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Why “The Science” Settled On “Carbon”
Posted inStatistics

Why “The Science” Settled On “Carbon”

The answer to the question Why "The Science" Settled On "Carbon" is easy. The Science settled on "carbon" because it's easy. See? Easy is the answer, as promised. Now that…
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  1. Brian ( bulaoren) on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 8, 2026

    Ps. When I saw "River's Edge", it reminded me of a, weirdly, morally ambiguous 1950s Hitchcock film (with Jerry "Beaver"…

  2. Cary Cotterman on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 8, 2026

    As a child in the 1960s, I tended to get injured more often in warm months than in cold months,…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 8, 2026

    Today's subject seems a bit too warm to touch. Well, somebody has to break the ice (9?). I keep remembering…

  4. Tars Tarkas on Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”September 8, 2026

    "Our results suggest instead that child neglect is measurably responsive to high temperatures—parents are intentionally or unintentionally allowing their young…

  5. gareth on Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & IntelligenceSeptember 7, 2026

    So, was there any actual plant bothering done? Or was this all "thought experiment"? It was not clear to me…

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