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UNCERTAINTY & PROBABILITY THEORY: THE LOGIC OF SCIENCE Links to YouTube, Rumble, Bitchute, and Twitter inside each class. Jayne's Book (first part). Class 1: Logic teaser (blog, Substack). Class 2:…
Posted inStatistics
Dreaded Delta; Noble Lies In The Name of Science; No Fly List With Mark of the Vex; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXXIII
MUCH MORE THAN WE CAN DO There is so much material this week I can't include it all in one update. It would grow far too long. If it can…
Posted inStatistics
New Paper: Parameter-Centric Analysis Grossly Exaggerates Certainty
By moi as well. Paper link. Abstract: The reason probability models are used is to characterize uncertainty in observables. Typically, certainty in the parameters of fitted models based on their…
Posted inStatistics
WHO PCR Test False Positive Fiasco: Coronavirus Update L
WHO KNEW The WHO last week admonished the world to watch the Ct level of PCR tests. Too high gives too many false positives. False positives artificially boost "case" numbers,…
Posted inStatistics
Over-Certainty of Polygenic Scores
This is really a Part I of a series of articles about the latest trend (fad?) in statistical biology, but I didn't want to label it that way, which would…
Posted inStatistics
More Reasons Not To Fear COVID
To all those emailing: yes, I'm working on voter fraud, behind the scenes mostly. Here are some more complicated reasons not to fear the coronadoom. I didn't want to put…
Posted inStatistics
New Research: “We know the jail system harms the public rather than keeping us safe”
Sandhya Kajeepeta, who, like myself, boasts of a "(grating) Michigan accent", tweeted "We know the jail system harms the public rather than keeping us safe. In this new @AMJPublicHealth paper…
Posted inStatistics
Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners
Today's post title is stolen from a paper by the same name "Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners: Do Trends Vary by Gender, Race, and Class?" in Gender &…
