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I’m An Expert: I Must Be Right
Posted inPhilosophy

I’m An Expert: I Must Be Right

For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…
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The Don’t Just Stand There, Do Something Fallacy — Excerpt From Everything You Believe Is Wrong
Posted inBook review

The Don’t Just Stand There, Do Something Fallacy — Excerpt From Everything You Believe Is Wrong

In the talk I gave about The Most Infamous Coronavirus Model, the one that caused many governments to gleefully embrace panic, I made the point that an implicit premise in…
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Stars In Our Eyes, Rotting Our Minds
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Stars In Our Eyes, Rotting Our Minds

For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…
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SCOTUS & The Imposing Your Beliefs Fallacy
Posted inCulture

SCOTUS & The Imposing Your Beliefs Fallacy

The State always, or at least when it does not sleep, seeks to impose its beliefs on everybody. It does this through the creation of laws, which most people (except…
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The Race Doesn’t Exist & Only Whites Are Racist Fallacy — Excerpt from Everything You Believe Is Wrong
Posted inBook review Culture

The Race Doesn’t Exist & Only Whites Are Racist Fallacy — Excerpt from Everything You Believe Is Wrong

Today, an excerpt of Chapter 9 from Everything You Believe Is Wrong. A refutation of the precautionary principle. See if you notice any similarities with what is happening our your…
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Somebody Might Get Hurt!
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Somebody Might Get Hurt!

For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…
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Class 4: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: The Return of Logic
Posted inClass

Class 4: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: The Return of Logic

Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble This week I really could have benefited from seeing people's reactions. Ah, well. HOMEWORK It is true that "If p then…
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Big Muscles: Experts Know Best
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Big Muscles: Experts Know Best

For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…
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  1. NLR on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    The thing that gets me about these rationalists is that they seem to think it's still 1998. All the Internet…

  2. Rudolph Harrier on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    It was discussion of voting models that made it easy for me to believe your assertion that there are no…

  3. Paul Murphy on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    and the #1 reason to dislike prediction markets is... they can be used like push polls to manipulate opinion -…

  4. Plantagenet on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    Addendum I forgot to mention that since I placed my bet a couple months ago the odds are now on…

  5. Plantagenet on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    At betting shops over here in the UK there seem to be two types of big event bets. The first…

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