https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FmMBLTz6Pp8 Hard link to the video. This post ran originally on 28 February 2015. Given the quiet weekend, I postponed our Summa Contra Gentiles until next week. It is a delight to […]
A Coincidence: Coyne Zinged Me Before I Him — Or, The Coyne Fallacy Redux
After posting yesterday’s article, Jerry Coyne Doesn’t Have Free Will (poor fellow), I immediately saw hits coming to my place from Coyne’s. It turned out that, unbeknownst to me, the afternoon before, […]
Stephen Hawking Thinks Too Much Of Us; More
Autumn of the Modern Ages What!? You haven’t headed over to Mike Flynn’s place and read his series The Autumn of the Modern Ages? Sometimes I don’t understand you people at all. […]
What Regression Really Is: Part II
Read Part I Let’s continue our example. Suppose our regression shows that the probability of a Hate score greater than 5 is 60% for men and 80% for women—for people we have […]
Observational Versus Controlled Trials
Received this email from a reader: I took on board all I read on your website, and it has created confusion in my mind. I have been reading Ioannidis and others about […]
Wisdom Of The Crowds (And Voting)
Have you heard of Mesd-su-Re? One of the participants of the Great Harem Conspiracy under Ramses III? Probably not. But I need to know the length of his nose right before he […]
Voting (And Wisdom Of The Crowds)
First read Wisdom of the Crowds (and Voting). There are in this great land of ours some 315 million souls. Citizens, I mean. Another 12 millions (or so) are, as the euphemism […]
How Presidential Polls Work: D+7 or R-3 And All That
Unleash the polls! No, I don’t mean the men who bravely served under Grand Duke of Lithuania Władysław II Jagiełło (free bad joke of the day!), but those election omens which nowadays […]
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