I am the gentleman on the right.

Substack Mirror



I am a wholly independent writer, statistician, scientist and consultant. Previously a Professor at the Cornell Medical School, a Statistician at DoubleClick in its infancy, a Meteorologist with the National Weather Service, and an Electronic Cryptologist with the US Air Force (the only title I ever cared for was Staff Sergeant Briggs).

My PhD is in Mathematical Statistics: I am now an Uncertainty Philosopher, Epistemologist, Probability Puzzler, and Unmasker of Over-Certainty. My MS is in Atmospheric Physics, and Bachelors is in Meteorology & Math.

Author of Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics, a book which calls for a complete and fundamental change in the philosophy and practice of probability & statistics; author of two other books and dozens of works in fields of statistics, medicine, philosophy, meteorology and climatology, solar physics, and energy use appearing in both professional and popular outlets.

Full CV (pdf updated rarely).


God bless you all for sending emails. I receive so many that I can’t always keep up. Please forgive me if I can’t get to yours in good time.

Unless you give me explicit permission I will not identify you.



Although it might not look like it to you, I receive all the mails and they are all formatted fine.

The surest way to get hold of me is direct email: matt@wmbriggs.com.


I am available, for a fee, for any of at least these activities:

  • Penning articles, reports, stories. Obituaries for my enemies are free of charge;
  • Contract research—much requested; order early for the holiday rush.
  • Telling you and your company just why what you’re doing is wrong.
  • Uncertainty analysis of all kinds;
  • Lecturing, speaking, teaching, seminars, holding forth.

Past clients include: Wall Street Journal,, Cornell University, New York Methodist Hospital, Delta-X Research, various marketing firms, real estate companies, and many more.

All work cheerfully undertaken.


If you have enjoyed this site, why not be one of the elite very, very few who help support the very, very one who runs it? You will have my gratitude and prayers. Thank you.

Use the buttons or enter any amount you wish, one time or recurring. Larger amounts spread more cheer.

Credit card: click here.

Use the paid subscription at Substack.

Cash App: $WilliamMBriggs.

For Zelle, use my email: matt@wmbriggs.com, and please include yours so I know who to thank.

Cash in small paper bags at dead drops: email me.