The general theory, methods, and philosophy of the Science of Guessing What Is.
We had the fourth Broken Science Initiative event this past Saturday at the Castro Ranch in Aromas, California. Which is apparently where CrossFit got its start. Standing room only. Terrific crowd. Good […]
It’s too late for you, doomed reader. You know I love you, but I may have killed you. This makes me sad. Unless you are one of my despised enemies. Then I […]
This site is mirrored at Substack for those who prefer that format. Introduction Steve Kirsch ran a survey asking parents to say about their kids how many vaccinations of all kinds they […]
Nature headline: “Timing matters for COVID vaccine effectiveness: Younger and older people gained greater protection if they had their jabs in the middle of the day.” Good joke: “Went from ‘95% effective’ […]
Headline from 2014: “Expert predicts ice-free Arctic by 2020 as UN releases climate report“. Here from NASA is a picture by year of the estimated minimum sea-ice extent, which occurs around September […]
Update See the Twitter thread (and account) for many more examples. NOBODY has been able to find a word yet that Experts haven’t tied to “climate change.” Got an email telling me […]
Some things, the saying goes, are too good to check. Take the peer-reviewed paper “Environmental knowledge is inversely associated with climate change anxiety” by Hannes Zacher and Cort W. Rudolph in Climatic […]
Rationalists, like those at Less Wrong (think Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander), are prone to fetishsize Bayes theorem, seeing it as the key to all thought. It isn’t. Bayes is a helpful […]
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