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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Reasons Not To Like Prediction Markets
July 23, 2024
Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!
July 22, 2024
Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim Researchers
July 18, 2024
The Enlightenment Was The Beginning Of The Great Leveling: Stove 2
July 17, 2024
Lesson 13: No “Fair” Dice & Jaynes Symmetry
July 16, 2024
Arrest All Stochastic Terrorists In Trump Assassination Attempt & Civilian Murder & Shootings
July 15, 2024
Academics Have Contest To See How Many Times They Can Say ‘Racist’ In An Article: An IQ Story
July 11, 2024
Jon Stewart Proves Democracies Are Undesirable
July 10, 2024
There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1
July 9, 2024
How Did Such A Smart Guy Get So Stupid: Bill Gates & Cow Farts 
July 8, 2024
Testing The Blog Emailer: Please Delete
July 6, 2024
Top Ten Fireworks Tips from the Cult of Safety First!
July 4, 2024
My Origin Story – And More! In Which I’m Interviewed
July 3, 2024
Experts’ Tears Flow
July 2, 2024
Class 12: Psychic Card Guessing & The Proportional Syllogism
July 1, 2024
The Debate: A Key Moment In The History Of Comedy. Plus Predictions
June 28, 2024
Is This The Dumbest Science Ever?
June 27, 2024
Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs
June 26, 2024
The Probability Of Being Accused Of The Hate Crime Of Disparate Impact Approaches 1
June 25, 2024
Class 11: One Son Born Tuesday & Relevance. Update: Homework Added!
June 24, 2024
The Misinformation Dis(mis)course Revisited : The Losing Battle of The Academic Expertocracy — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
June 20, 2024
Posted inStatistics

Reasons Not To Like Prediction Markets

Posted by By Briggs July 23, 2024
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!

Posted by By Briggs July 22, 2024
Continue Reading
Reasons Not To Like Prediction Markets
Posted inStatistics

Reasons Not To Like Prediction Markets

Note: I wrote this on Saturday morning before the events of Sunday hilariously vindicated the conclusions below. My point was to illustrate how bets are not probabilities, though they do…
Read More
Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!
Posted inStatistics

Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!

Link to all Classes. Video Announcement: In order to preserve sanity, I am not going to include any technical proofs in the Video lectures from now on. As important, indeed…
Read More
Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim Researchers
Posted inStatistics

Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim Researchers

So these researchers said the worse infection of covid you had the more you now act like our dear President: In a multiple regression analysis, participants who had recovered from…
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The Enlightenment Was The Beginning Of The Great Leveling: Stove 2
Posted inStatistics

The Enlightenment Was The Beginning Of The Great Leveling: Stove 2

We continue our series on the works of David Stove by picking up where we left off with the first essay in On Enlightenment. Part I here. It will be…
Read More
Lesson 13: No “Fair” Dice & Jaynes Symmetry
Posted inStatistics

Lesson 13: No “Fair” Dice & Jaynes Symmetry

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute (often a day or so behind, for whatever reason) The Infamous Coin Flipping Machine! Link to…
Read More
Arrest All Stochastic Terrorists In Trump Assassination Attempt & Civilian Murder & Shootings
Posted inStatistics

Arrest All Stochastic Terrorists In Trump Assassination Attempt & Civilian Murder & Shootings

Class will be delayed one day, until tomorrow. Academics at universities, which are the best kind of academics, invented the idea of stochastic terrorism. According to academic James Angove (who…
Read More
Academics Have Contest To See How Many Times They Can Say ‘Racist’ In An Article: An IQ Story
Posted inStatistics

Academics Have Contest To See How Many Times They Can Say ‘Racist’ In An Article: An IQ Story

His name wasn't the first given, nor even the second. But it did appear. There was a special sense of anticipation waiting for his name to come. For you knew…
Read More
Jon Stewart Proves Democracies Are Undesirable
Posted inStatistics

Jon Stewart Proves Democracies Are Undesirable

Regime court jester Jon Stewart used his stock "aghast" gimmick (which, you will know, is a low play on emotion) to instruct his audience that Biden's senility was "new information"…
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  1. Yonason on Covid Is The Boogerman of Maladies: Now It Causes Cognitive Confusion Claim ResearchersJuly 23, 2024

    RE Hagfish Bagpipe‘s response above… LOL! Similar to my experience of experiencing reduced mental and physical function briefly after ANY…

  2. Milton Hathaway on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    Hagfish - I, too, had to laugh at the slot machine TikTok video. Yes, it's funny and it looks pretty…

  3. Forbes on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    The "prediction" betting market that blew it big time was Brexit. The bookies (well, some) even paid out winnings in…

  4. Hagfish Bagpipe on Reasons Not To Like Prediction MarketsJuly 23, 2024

    That video of people robotically hitting buttons on a machine like lab maze rats chasing dopamine cheese is hilarious. Those…

  5. Briggs on Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!July 23, 2024

    gareth, If n = whatever, and k = 0,1,2,..., n. Then n - k = 0 at the end. And…

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