Search Results for “bayes bayesian”

Why Bayes Is Not The Fix We Need: A Critique of Bayesian Inference and its Application

I've pointed out many times some of the weaknesses of traditional statistical practices, and how the routine use of "hypothesis testing" leads to an ever-growing mountain of Broken Science. Some…

Philosophy Statistics

How Not To Think Like A Bayesian Rationalist

Lisping Rationalists When I read people like Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander it becomes clear to me how the French could have built a Temple of Reason during The Terror.…

Statistics

The Disparagement Of Epidemiology

I was having an argument with a friend who was on his way to a conference to point out the shortcomings and over-confidence of Evidence Based Medicine (EBM). With EBM,…

Statistics

The Mathematical Trick Guaranteed To Win You A Nobel Prize

My friends, the title is not hyperbole. The scheme I present below will work. But it will require some hard work to get there. Which is only proper, since we…

Philosophy Statistics

Why (Scott Alexander’s) Bayesian Rationality Fails

Scott Alexander, late of Slate Star Codex, and New York Times doxee, is the subject of Curtis Yarvin nee Moldbug's latest. Rather, Alexander's (and Moldbug's? see postscript) Bayesian rationality is.…

Philosophy

Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty

This invited paper (which I forgot to post!) appeared in the festschrift for Hung T. Nguyen, previously at New Mexico State University and now at Chiang Mai University, to celebrate…

Philosophy Statistics

Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix

A PDF of this article may be downloaded here. This article is a precis of Uncertainty. Opening Act Patient walks into the doctor and says, "Doc, I saw that new…

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UNCERTAINTY & PROBABILITY THEORY: THE LOGIC OF SCIENCE Class 1: Logic teaser (blog, Substack). Class 2: Quid Est Veritas? (blog, Substack). Class 3: Belief & Faith & The Necessity of…

Cary D Cotterman on Bipartisan Means The Fix Is InApril 23, 2024
No matter how many billions or trillions of dollars have ever been and will ever be spent by the U.S.,…
Incitadus on Bipartisan Means The Fix Is InApril 23, 2024
Trump Sold-Out His Base to Shovel $95 Billion to Ukraine and Israel MIKE WHITNEY • APRIL 21, 2024 • https://www.unz.com/mwhitney/trump-sold-out-his-base-to-shovel-95-billion-to-ukraine-and-israel/
Incitadus on Bipartisan Means The Fix Is InApril 23, 2024
I voted for Trump twice but I always had a bad feeling about him being the greatest psy-op of all…
Chaeremon on Bipartisan Means The Fix Is InApril 23, 2024
when you see the irreparable cracks in some building, you can only save what is obviously usable. P.S. same Uniparty-behavior…
Mike Doster on Bipartisan Means The Fix Is InApril 23, 2024
This has been just as rampant in all my 73 years as now. It's useful to think about the giants…