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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The I-Have-Big-Muscles Fallacy

Harvard graduate walks down the street where a 50-lb sack of cement blocks his way. He reaches down to shift it but discovers that despite all his might the bulk…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

A Brief Explanation Of Occam’s Razor

We're interested in whether some proposition Y is true. One explanation, perhaps causal or deterministic, or even only probabilistic, is X. Thus, Pr(Y | X) is high or equals 1.…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Bayesian Metaphor Can Do More Harm Than Good: Update

Quoting from a post on vampires, "In Bayesian inference, you start with some initial beliefs (called 'Bayesian priors' or just 'priors'), and then you 'update' them as you receive new…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Why Is Economics Plagued By Math?

The answer is easy: because math is numbers and numbers are measurement and measurements are necessary to make a subject "scientific" in the modern sense of that word. Why should…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Quantum Mechanics, Potentiality, Ontology, Epistemology, & Probability

What is and what is known about what is are two concepts which are often entangled, especially in quantum mechanics (puns intentional). This is one of the subjects which I…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

The Ethics Of Precrime

This is Part II of our discussion of predicting individual crime. See Part I. The moral question is this: should an authority take action against you if an algorithm spits…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Paper Finds Pattern In Primes: What About Randomness & Chance?

Here's the headline in Nature: "Peculiar pattern found in 'random' prime numbers", an article which opens "Two mathematicians have found a strange pattern in prime numbers -- showing that the…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Gravitational Waves And Discovering Cause

You'll have heard by now that the existence of gravitational waves have been "confirmed." The scare quotes are intentional, but not in the sense that I (necessarily) disbelieve in the…
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  1. McChuck on Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By ScienceDecember 25, 2025

    Merry Christmas! "Render therefore unto Caesar the things which are Caesar's; and unto God the things that are God's."

  2. Cary D Cotterman on Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By ScienceDecember 24, 2025

    A quarter-inch-drive ratchet with a set of sockets doesn't answer any moral and ethical questions, but it's damned useful. Merry…

  3. Uncle Mike on Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By ScienceDecember 24, 2025

    Christmas is another question Science has no explanation for. Joy and peace to you and yours.

  4. Faith on Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By ScienceDecember 24, 2025

    Briggs, you're the best! Merry Christmas!

  5. Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By Science – William M. Briggs on Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By ScienceDecember 24, 2025

    […] older version of this post originally ran 12 November 2016. All scientific successes in morals and ethics since then…

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