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Another Proof of the Uselessness of P-values
Posted inStatistics

Another Proof of the Uselessness of P-values

Susan Holmes has done us a service by writing clearly the philosophy of the p-value in her new paper "Statistical Proof? The Problem of Irreproducibility" in the Bulletin of the…
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Pay More Taxes And Live Longer. Wee P-value Alert!
Posted inStatistics

Pay More Taxes And Live Longer. Wee P-value Alert!

It's bottom-of-the-barrel trolling to cite anything from Daily Kos, but this one is particularly asinine and worth showing to demonstrate the futility of p-values. Thanks to Al Perrella for the…
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Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part VIII
Posted inClass Statistics

Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part VIII

Review! We're continuing with the CGPA example. The data is on line, and of unknown origin, but good enough to use as an example. We will build a correlational model,…
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Similarities Between ESP, Cold Fusion & Global Warming
Posted inStatistics

Similarities Between ESP, Cold Fusion & Global Warming

Stream: Similarities Between ESP, Cold Fusion & Global Warming At the climate website No Tricks Zone, there is a picture of various estimates of CO2 climate sensitivity estimates. These are…
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Falsifiability Is Falsifiable
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Falsifiability Is Falsifiable

We've talked many times before, and at greater length in Uncertanity, about the concept of falsifiability. It has come up again lately. The term shouldn't be but is equivocal. I…
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Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part VII
Posted inClass Statistics

Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part VII

Review! This is our last week of theory. Next week the practical side begins in earnest. However much fun that will be, and it will be a jolly time, this…
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Real Versus Fake Fake News: Update
Posted inStatistics

Real Versus Fake Fake News: Update

Stream: Real Versus Fake Fake News On the last day of bad old year, Lake Superior State University released its 43rd annual List of Words Banished from the Queen's English…
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How’d We Do On Our 2017 Predictions?
Posted inStatistics

How’d We Do On Our 2017 Predictions?

How'd we do? Not so hot. We missed big events; but then, 2017 was a screwy year with our continued slide into Insanity & Doom accelerating. As Yogi Berra may…
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  1. Paul Fischer on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Always thought-provoking, William. The comments section’s a bit hostile today. To really grasp what Matt is driving at, you have…

  2. Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…

  3. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Is there evidence that people believe probabilities, parameters, or mathematical objects exist physically in nature? The fact that mathematicians use…

  4. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Relevance is made more difficult when Y is allowed to vary, but the underlying idea is the same. Probability offers…

  5. Tim on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 8, 2025

    What are you playing at, Briggs? Some high-falutin' model equation junk that'll get twisted by politicians in the end anyway?…

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