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Non-Empirical Confirmation Of Theories
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Non-Empirical Confirmation Of Theories

Difficulties "Fundamental physics today faces the problem that empirical testing of its core hypotheses is very difficult to achieve and even more difficult to be made conclusive," says Richard Dawid…
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A Failed Argument Against Free Will: Predicting Actions
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

A Failed Argument Against Free Will: Predicting Actions

It is always hilarious when people rail against free will, who are especially flummoxed that Common Man believes in free will, and say "If only people realized their choices weren't…
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Death Blow To Statistical Significance! — Bonus: Here’s The Replacement
Posted inStatistics

Death Blow To Statistical Significance! — Bonus: Here’s The Replacement

Don't miss the Nature article below! (I stole the graphic from it.) Am Stat Here are the opening lines from a press release (unfortunately sounding like every other press release…
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There Are No Such Thing As Gays (Or Transexuals)
Posted inStatistics

There Are No Such Thing As Gays (Or Transexuals)

Yours Truly is a statistician; indeed, the Statistician to the Stars! I call myself that because I perform probability analyses for money (and only for the best people). Yet I…
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On True And False Theories
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

On True And False Theories

What makes a theory true? Bad question, that. Conflates too easily why a theory is true with our knowledge whether a theory is true. Both are subjects of great interest,…
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When We Abandon Statistical Significance, Non-Statisticians Will Resist The Strongest
Posted inStatistics

When We Abandon Statistical Significance, Non-Statisticians Will Resist The Strongest

Regular readers will know the arguments and evidence proving P-values should no longer be used for any reason. If you still doubt, which I doubt, read this paper. Every decision…
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Deep Dumb: A Map For Navigating Needless Panic
Posted inStatistics

Deep Dumb: A Map For Navigating Needless Panic

I found it rather comforting to learn Professor Jem Bendell, among his other achievements, has an "honors" Bachelor of Arts. He boasts of this, and therefore it must be important,…
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Yep, Probability Is Not As Simple As You Think
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Yep, Probability Is Not As Simple As You Think

Couple of folks (Mike W, Dan Hughes) asked me to comment on the article "The concept of probability is not as simple as you think" by Nevin Climenhaga. Three popular…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)March 12, 2026

    The probability of significant "climate change" in equatorial Africa is very small because most climate change occurs at the poles.…

  2. C-Marie on On Not ReadingMarch 12, 2026

    Well, I do knpw that Malchi Martin and David McCullough were great authors.... The Final Conclave and John Adams, respectively.…

  3. NLR on On Not ReadingMarch 11, 2026

    People have a variety of different reading habits. So the best thing to accommodate that is to preserve a variety…

  4. Johnno on On Not ReadingMarch 11, 2026

    Briggs, have you tried ONE PIECE ?

  5. Eyrie on On Not ReadingMarch 11, 2026

    Yep, finding the same thing. Unfortunately many of the good authors have died. We lost Michael F Flynn a couple…

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