Philosophy – Page 129 – William M. Briggs

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part V

We have in our hands (via the predictive posterior) the probabilities that Susy's GPA is less than any number between 0 and 4, given that we accept the normal model…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV

In Part I we had the simplest kind of model. We complicated it in Part II, built more structure in Part III, and today finally come to the most used…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part III

We have had two cases so far: arbitrary models for counterfactual Martians (Part I) and a deduced model for an urn holding dichotomous objects (Part II). The logic was identical…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part II

The models in Part I might not have "felt right" to you. But if that is so it is because your diet of probability examples has been too narrowly constricted.…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part I

The rules of logic are simple. Use whatever evidence you have, and no other, to figure the probability of a conclusion. These rules are all we need to understand what…

Culture Philosophy

Studies Show Mike McQueary Did What You Would Have Done

A lot of wrist-twisting and hand-wringing over Mike McQueary's actions after he came across Penn State Coach Jerry Sandusky raping a 10-year-old boy in the showers. McQueary, who Mark Steyn…

Culture Philosophy

The Selfish Genes Of Dennett’s Atheists

If you're not busy this December 2nd and 3rd, and happen to be in the Buffalo area, you might drop in on the Center for Inquiry's symposium "Daniel Dennett and…

Philosophy Statistics

Inuitionist Math & Probability: Riemann Hypothesis Example

The principium tertii exclusi, the principle or law of the excluded middle, what is that? If there is a proposition B then it is either the case that B is…

C-Marie on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 7, 2026
Yikes!! Pray for her complete conversion to Our Lord Jesus Christ. God bless, C-Marie
Johnno on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 7, 2026
The consensus of blacks should lynch her to protect their human dignity. "Lynching" being a medical term and community practice.…
Cary D Cotterman on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 7, 2026
How Democrats can support this woman without embarrassment just proves that they're, well, Democrats.
Uncle Mike on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 7, 2026
KBJ is a flaming "liberal" Marxist typical of her identity group. She and they endorse sodomy and grooming of children…
Heresolong on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 7, 2026
"the community has determined that efforts to change a patient’s sexual orientation or gender identity will necessarily be ineffective." And…