Philosophy – Page 129 – William M. Briggs

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part V

We have in our hands (via the predictive posterior) the probabilities that Susy's GPA is less than any number between 0 and 4, given that we accept the normal model…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part IV

In Part I we had the simplest kind of model. We complicated it in Part II, built more structure in Part III, and today finally come to the most used…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part III

We have had two cases so far: arbitrary models for counterfactual Martians (Part I) and a deduced model for an urn holding dichotomous objects (Part II). The logic was identical…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part II

The models in Part I might not have "felt right" to you. But if that is so it is because your diet of probability examples has been too narrowly constricted.…

Philosophy Statistics

What Is A True Model? What Makes A Good One?: Part I

The rules of logic are simple. Use whatever evidence you have, and no other, to figure the probability of a conclusion. These rules are all we need to understand what…

Culture Philosophy

Studies Show Mike McQueary Did What You Would Have Done

A lot of wrist-twisting and hand-wringing over Mike McQueary's actions after he came across Penn State Coach Jerry Sandusky raping a 10-year-old boy in the showers. McQueary, who Mark Steyn…

Culture Philosophy

The Selfish Genes Of Dennett’s Atheists

If you're not busy this December 2nd and 3rd, and happen to be in the Buffalo area, you might drop in on the Center for Inquiry's symposium "Daniel Dennett and…

Philosophy Statistics

Inuitionist Math & Probability: Riemann Hypothesis Example

The principium tertii exclusi, the principle or law of the excluded middle, what is that? If there is a proposition B then it is either the case that B is…

Cary D Cotterman on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 4, 2025
Leftist elitism leads to nonexistent borders, illegal alien invasion in the tens of millions, wokism, climate hysteria, trans cultism, covid…
Richard S. on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 4, 2025
Thank you, Dr. Briggs for your concise piece focusing primarily upon whether leftist "liberal" elites can be persuaded by facts…
Uncle Mike on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 4, 2025
"The joyful slaughter of millions" is addicting. They can't stop. No one can stop them, except by killing them, which…
Richard Stevens on Stay The Course: Have Some ClassNovember 4, 2025
Zelle Donation on its way! Dr. Briggs, you're a rare and cherished commodity in this era! Loved your "Everything" book…
spetzer86 on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 4, 2025
NLR - there's always Google on African massacres. Stuff happens all over, even if you live on a continent that…