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Why Younger Evangelicals Waver in Support for Israel
Posted inStatistics

Why Younger Evangelicals Waver in Support for Israel

Update It appears some think I believe unquestioning support of Israel is a good thing, or that I agree with evangelical interpretations of prophecy. If so, I wrote badly. This…
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Other Practical Books On Par With <em>Uncertainty</em>? Reader Question
Posted inFun Statistics

Other Practical Books On Par With Uncertainty? Reader Question

Got this email from VD. I've edited to remove any personal information and to add blog-standard style and links. I answered, and I remind all readers of the on-going claassre,…
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Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing
Posted inStatistics

Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing

Nothing can cure significance testing. Except a bullet to the p-value. (That sound you heard was from readers pretending to swoon.) The paper is out and official---and free!: "Manipulating the…
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Choose Predictive Over Parametric Every Time
Posted inClass Statistics

Choose Predictive Over Parametric Every Time

Gaze and wonder at picture which heads this article, which I lifted from John Haman's nifty R package ciTools. The numbers in the plot are made up whole cloth to…
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Inference To The Best Explanation: Shapiro’s <em>The Miracle Myth</em> Reviewed — Part II
Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

Inference To The Best Explanation: Shapiro’s The Miracle Myth Reviewed — Part II

Read Part I. A researcher puts you into a room. On the table is a blue ball. Somebody put it there. It could have been Alice, Bob, or Charlie. Given…
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People Are Less Religious When Government Is Bigger
Posted inStatistics

People Are Less Religious When Government Is Bigger

This is making the news. A guy we've seen before is up to his usual statistical shenanigans in the peer-reviewed paper "Religion as an Exchange System: The Interchangeability of God…
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Uncertainty Book Report
Posted inBook review Statistics

Uncertainty Book Report

Springer sent me the book report Uncertainty for 2017. Since its online publication on July 01, 2016, there has been a total of 16,765 chapter downloads for your eBook on…
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Atheists Released From Global Warming Fight Duties. Jim Antal Says So.
Posted inStatistics

Atheists Released From Global Warming Fight Duties. Jim Antal Says So.

We are sick unto death of the endless failed predictions of global warming doom. Not climate change doom. Global warming doom. They promised global warming. Never let them forget that.…
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  1. Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 10, 2026

    C-Marie, I knew you could.

  2. Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 10, 2026

    Andrew, No, they're just bad model predictions. See the "hallucination" article I referenced.

  3. Andrew P Partington on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    Gödel’s incompleteness theorem proves that no apparently complete logical system can rule out the paradox (“this sentence is not true”)…

  4. C- Marie on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    I understood much of the logic of this. Thank you, Matt! God bless, C- Marie

  5. shawn marshall on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    I asked Grok to assign probabilities to all the known facts about the Shroud of Turin and then calculate a…

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