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William M. Briggs

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Next Time Somebody Asks You “What’s the Probability of X” Say This — Crucial Update!
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Next Time Somebody Asks You “What’s the Probability of X” Say This — Crucial Update!

Next time somebody asks you "What's the Probability of X", where X is any proposition, say this: there is no such probability. It doesn't exist. "Briggs, what's the probability of…
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Making P-values Weer To Achieve Significance Won’t Help
Posted inStatistics

Making P-values Weer To Achieve Significance Won’t Help

Mini-paper out in JAMA by Matt Vassar and pals: "Evaluation of Lowering the P Value Threshold for Statistical Significance From .05 to .005 in Previously Published Randomized Clinical Trials in…
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The Controversy Over Randomization And Balance In Clinical Trials
Posted inClass Statistics

The Controversy Over Randomization And Balance In Clinical Trials

There was a paper a short while back, "Why all randomised controlled trials produce biased results", by Alexander Krauss, in the Annals of Medicine. Raised some academic eyebrows. Krauss says,…
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An Illustration Of Type I Scientism
Posted inCulture Statistics

An Illustration Of Type I Scientism

Regular readers will recall there are two Types of Scientism. Type I is belief that Science is needed to verify commonplace truths. Type II is the belief that only Science…
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Black Coffee Drinkers Are Sadistic Psychos: It’s Science!
Posted inStatistics

Black Coffee Drinkers Are Sadistic Psychos: It’s Science!

Headline New study says you might be a psychopath if you like black coffee A new study from the University of Innsbruck in Austria says that people who drink their…
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Quack Quack: 25% of Students “Traumatized” By 2016 Election
Posted inStatistics

Quack Quack: 25% of Students “Traumatized” By 2016 Election

Headline 25% of students say they were traumatized by the 2016 election, study says A quarter of students found the 2016 so traumatic they now report symptoms of PTSD, according…
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You Can’t Quantify The Unquantifiable
Posted inStatistics

You Can’t Quantify The Unquantifiable

I stole the picture below from YouGov. A new YouGov study reveals exactly how positively and negatively the population perceives various descriptions to be. YouGov showed respondents a selection of…
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Proof Education Is Bad For You
Posted inCulture Statistics

Proof Education Is Bad For You

Headline The Age That Women Have Babies: How a Gap Divides America First-time mothers are older in big cities and on the coasts, and younger in rural areas and in…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David StoveJune 25, 2026

    Whatever women's intellectual deficiency, they make up for it with raw animal cunning.

  2. Dan MacDougald on The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David StoveJune 25, 2026

    Paul Johnson, the great British Historian, in his "History of the American People," the US started down the road to…

  3. Marbles! – William M. Briggs on Marbles!June 24, 2026

    […] I am on the road and am way behind on posts—I have a 3,500 word article on deriving Oughts…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Marbles!June 24, 2026

    For the past 48 hours, I've been considering a fundamental, structural, problem with marbles; " Marmorism". Some people will accumulate…

  5. John Pate on Marbles!June 23, 2026

    Marbles was a thing in my primary school in Cambridge, England in the sixties. I don't recall girls ever playing…

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