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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Crisis: Vatican Burns with Global Warming Enthusiasm (And Temperature Fiddling)

Today's post is at Crisis. The title the editor John Vella wrote is AUs---parsecs, even---above mine. His: "Vatican Burns with Global Warming Enthusiasm". Mine? "The Church Burns To Jump Into…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Space’s 10 Mistakes People Make When Arguing Science

Reader Ken pointed us to Space.com's click-me-click-me! article "The 10 Mistakes People Make When Arguing Science". Since everybody loves numbered lists, I'll duplicate their efforts here, using their mistakes. Isn't…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability’s Empirical Bias

Bit of logic (a favorite example) from our teacher Lewis Carroll: given "All cats understand French and that some chickens are cats", what can we say about the proposition "Some…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

A Probability Non-Paradox

Before you is a box in which is a slip of paper on which is written either '0', '1', '2', or '3'. Given that premise, what is the probability of…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Answering A Critic On Sampling Variability

Alfred 'Dominant Strategy' (ADS) is confused that "William Briggs is confused on sampling variability". I wrote an article highlighting misconceptions and mistakes people make when thinking about sampling variability, and…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Bad Arguments Against The Death Penalty: Update

Big news is that both lefty and righty Catholic news sources banded together last week to issue an editorial "Capital Punishment Must End". The subject is enormous; there is no…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Sampling Variability Is A Screwy, Misleading Concept

https://twitter.com/Bigdatanalysis/status/573739862924353536 Because of travel and jet lag, exacerbated by "springing forward", we continue our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles next week. If you can't read the tweet above, it says…
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Resolved: Statisticians To Cease Using “Independence”, Change To “Irrelevance”
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Resolved: Statisticians To Cease Using “Independence”, Change To “Irrelevance”

What's the difference between "independence" and "irrelevance" and why does that difference matter? This typical passage is from The First Course in Probability by Sheldon Ross (p. 87) is lovely…
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  1. Paul Murphy on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    hey doc Steven Hayward's substack post on "Pope Bob" https://stevehayward.substack.com/p/pope-bob includes an image and summary of a book on "evaluative…

  2. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Probability is defined on a sigma field. But what exactly is a sigma field? In simpler terms, it represents the…

  3. Johnno on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 9, 2025

    What are the political leanings of the naturally elotrocuted, and can we use them for our cause, or does their…

  4. Paul Fischer on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Always thought-provoking, William. The comments section’s a bit hostile today. To really grasp what Matt is driving at, you have…

  5. Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…

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