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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Crisis: Vatican Burns with Global Warming Enthusiasm (And Temperature Fiddling)

Today's post is at Crisis. The title the editor John Vella wrote is AUs---parsecs, even---above mine. His: "Vatican Burns with Global Warming Enthusiasm". Mine? "The Church Burns To Jump Into…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Space’s 10 Mistakes People Make When Arguing Science

Reader Ken pointed us to Space.com's click-me-click-me! article "The 10 Mistakes People Make When Arguing Science". Since everybody loves numbered lists, I'll duplicate their efforts here, using their mistakes. Isn't…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability’s Empirical Bias

Bit of logic (a favorite example) from our teacher Lewis Carroll: given "All cats understand French and that some chickens are cats", what can we say about the proposition "Some…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

A Probability Non-Paradox

Before you is a box in which is a slip of paper on which is written either '0', '1', '2', or '3'. Given that premise, what is the probability of…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Answering A Critic On Sampling Variability

Alfred 'Dominant Strategy' (ADS) is confused that "William Briggs is confused on sampling variability". I wrote an article highlighting misconceptions and mistakes people make when thinking about sampling variability, and…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Bad Arguments Against The Death Penalty: Update

Big news is that both lefty and righty Catholic news sources banded together last week to issue an editorial "Capital Punishment Must End". The subject is enormous; there is no…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Sampling Variability Is A Screwy, Misleading Concept

https://twitter.com/Bigdatanalysis/status/573739862924353536 Because of travel and jet lag, exacerbated by "springing forward", we continue our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles next week. If you can't read the tweet above, it says…
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Resolved: Statisticians To Cease Using “Independence”, Change To “Irrelevance”
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Resolved: Statisticians To Cease Using “Independence”, Change To “Irrelevance”

What's the difference between "independence" and "irrelevance" and why does that difference matter? This typical passage is from The First Course in Probability by Sheldon Ross (p. 87) is lovely…
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  1. Rudolph Harrier on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    It's an interesting thought experiment. However, we will never have a practical implementation of the test because it would be…

  2. Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    hudbwu, You could be right.

  3. hudbwu on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    Caution: it may be that intelligence can not be confirmed by any behavioral test. For example, free will can not…

  4. Lucy Tucker on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 5, 2026

    I’m ready to give up the right to vote.

  5. spetzer86 on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 5, 2026

    Could this scenario validate (A) and (D)? (A): When living in a country with a strong, pervasive religious belief, particularly…

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