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Similarities Between ESP, Cold Fusion & Global Warming
Posted inStatistics

Similarities Between ESP, Cold Fusion & Global Warming

Stream: Similarities Between ESP, Cold Fusion & Global Warming At the climate website No Tricks Zone, there is a picture of various estimates of CO2 climate sensitivity estimates. These are…
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Falsifiability Is Falsifiable
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Falsifiability Is Falsifiable

We've talked many times before, and at greater length in Uncertanity, about the concept of falsifiability. It has come up again lately. The term shouldn't be but is equivocal. I…
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Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part VII
Posted inClass Statistics

Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part VII

Review! This is our last week of theory. Next week the practical side begins in earnest. However much fun that will be, and it will be a jolly time, this…
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Real Versus Fake Fake News: Update
Posted inStatistics

Real Versus Fake Fake News: Update

Stream: Real Versus Fake Fake News On the last day of bad old year, Lake Superior State University released its 43rd annual List of Words Banished from the Queen's English…
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How’d We Do On Our 2017 Predictions?
Posted inStatistics

How’d We Do On Our 2017 Predictions?

How'd we do? Not so hot. We missed big events; but then, 2017 was a screwy year with our continued slide into Insanity & Doom accelerating. As Yogi Berra may…
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In A Democracy, Everything Is Political. Even Science.
Posted inStatistics

In A Democracy, Everything Is Political. Even Science.

Stream: On the Left, Bad Politics Leads to Bad Science (Insanity & Doom updates resume after Christmas.) "All I Want For Christmas Is Full Communism Now". Not I. It is…
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Update: That Silly Asylum Applications & Temperature Fluctuations Paper
Posted inStatistics

Update: That Silly Asylum Applications & Temperature Fluctuations Paper

Update at bottom. I was asked by Axel Bojanowski, Science Editor at Der Spiegel to examine the Science paper "Asylum applications respond to temperature fluctuations" by Anouch Missirian and Wolfram…
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Cliodynamics And The Lack Of A Hari Seldon
Posted inClass Statistics

Cliodynamics And The Lack Of A Hari Seldon

There will be no Hari Seldon. But there will be prophets. If there is no Seldon, there will be no psychohistory, the fictional astonishingly accurate mathematical science predicting gross human…
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  1. Briggs on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 5, 2026

    Eric, Darn similar, and (I hope) simplified.

  2. Eric Brown on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026

    Isn’t this Searle’s Chinese Room argument? Not that I disagree with either of you…

  3. Rhetocrates on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026

    I disagree with the conclusion of the test. There is no need for panic or concern over the possibility of…

  4. C-Marie on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026

    God is!!! Well done, Matt!! Loved this! Great explanations .... even understood much of it at 82 years!!! Am sending…

  5. CorkyAgain on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026

    I rather like Sheldrake's idea that brains are more like radio receivers which resonate with or tune into signals from…

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