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The Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again: Premature Birth Rate Edition
Posted inStatistics

The Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again: Premature Birth Rate Edition

Hypothesis testing leads to more scientific nonsense than any other practice, including fraud. Hypothesis testing, as regular readers know, cannot identify cause. It conflates decision with probability and leads to…
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Lovely Example of Statistics Gone Bad
Posted inClass Statistics

Lovely Example of Statistics Gone Bad

The graph above (biggified version here) was touted by Simon Kuestenmacher (who posts many beautiful maps). He said "This plot shows the objects that were found to be 'the most…
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Why Younger Evangelicals Waver in Support for Israel
Posted inStatistics

Why Younger Evangelicals Waver in Support for Israel

Update It appears some think I believe unquestioning support of Israel is a good thing, or that I agree with evangelical interpretations of prophecy. If so, I wrote badly. This…
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Other Practical Books On Par With <em>Uncertainty</em>? Reader Question
Posted inFun Statistics

Other Practical Books On Par With Uncertainty? Reader Question

Got this email from VD. I've edited to remove any personal information and to add blog-standard style and links. I answered, and I remind all readers of the on-going claassre,…
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Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing
Posted inStatistics

Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing

Nothing can cure significance testing. Except a bullet to the p-value. (That sound you heard was from readers pretending to swoon.) The paper is out and official---and free!: "Manipulating the…
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Choose Predictive Over Parametric Every Time
Posted inClass Statistics

Choose Predictive Over Parametric Every Time

Gaze and wonder at picture which heads this article, which I lifted from John Haman's nifty R package ciTools. The numbers in the plot are made up whole cloth to…
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Inference To The Best Explanation: Shapiro’s <em>The Miracle Myth</em> Reviewed — Part II
Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

Inference To The Best Explanation: Shapiro’s The Miracle Myth Reviewed — Part II

Read Part I. A researcher puts you into a room. On the table is a blue ball. Somebody put it there. It could have been Alice, Bob, or Charlie. Given…
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People Are Less Religious When Government Is Bigger
Posted inStatistics

People Are Less Religious When Government Is Bigger

This is making the news. A guy we've seen before is up to his usual statistical shenanigans in the peer-reviewed paper "Religion as an Exchange System: The Interchangeability of God…
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  1. Thousands of Millions to be Eased | contrary2belief on Academics: Achieve Sustainability by Easing Population to 4 Billion by 2200August 7, 2026

    […] William M. Briggs, Statistician to the Stars identifies the easing of morals and ethics in academia. […]

  2. Johnno on Academics: Achieve Sustainability by Easing Population to 4 Billion by 2200August 7, 2026

    Any volunteers to contribute to the easing? Hello? Anyone...?

  3. Fubsy on Academics: Achieve Sustainability by Easing Population to 4 Billion by 2200August 6, 2026

    We can call it "The Great Easement"

  4. C-Marie on Academics: Achieve Sustainability by Easing Population to 4 Billion by 2200August 6, 2026

    Knowingly, or not, they are writing of the coming New World Order in which they will not include the Triune…

  5. Cary Cotterman on Academics: Achieve Sustainability by Easing Population to 4 Billion by 2200August 6, 2026

    The population is (according to the paper) about four times what it was a century ago. As we know, the…

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