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Posted inStatistics

The Hierarchy Of Models: From Causal (Best) To Statistical (Worst)

There is a hierarchy of models in the sense they offer insight into the thing modeled. The order of importance is: causal, deterministic, probabilistic, statistical. Most models use mixtures of…
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Posted inStatistics

Computers Can Find Future Criminals? Why, Computers Can Do Anything!

There is a belief---a persistent and beguiling, yet false belief---that a formula exists that can predict anything. This formula will differ, it is thought, by the thing predicted, and it…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Uncertainty (#1 New Release in Statistics) Book Page — Here Are The Details. Update!

This isn't the book page. This is. Or you can buy it here. The page is permanently located at the menu bar at the top of the page, at the…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Stream: Homicide Rates, Black vs. White, Sex, Guns & Government

Today's post is at The Stream: The Murder Rate has Plunged Since 1990...But Big Gov Knows How to Turn That Around. Go there for the narration and data explanation. Here's…
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Posted inStatistics

Publishing & Equality Are Killing Science

Equality kills everything it touches, eventually. So much is well known. It is also realized by regular readers that requiring academics to publish or perish causes them to perish intellectually.…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

Uncertainty: Foreword by Steven Goldberg

Steve Goldberg was president of the sociology department at City College of New York (CCNY) from 1988 until his retirement (back when they knew how to do sociology). He is…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: Government Lab Has Been Faking Data for Years

Today's post (more a news report) is at The Stream: Government Lab Has Been Faking Data for Years. A person or persons at the same US Geological Survey Lab in…
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Posted inStatistics

Shocking New Research: Hunger Motivates Eating

Ladies and gentlemen, the opening line of the peer-reviewed paper "Hunger promotes acquisition of nonfood objects" appearing in the (once) venerable organ Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, by…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The ScienceAugust 6, 2025

    I am not surprised by these findings, just as I will not be surprised if a subsequent study finds that…

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    "Female pilots may outperform their male counterparts in high-pressure flight situations" turns out to be "Female pilots may outperform their…

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    I don’t know how they were able to identify the sex of each sample. We all know that it’s impossible…

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