Posted inStatistics
How’d We Do On Our 2017 Predictions?
How'd we do? Not so hot. We missed big events; but then, 2017 was a screwy year with our continued slide into Insanity & Doom accelerating. As Yogi Berra may…
Posted inStatistics
In A Democracy, Everything Is Political. Even Science.
Stream: On the Left, Bad Politics Leads to Bad Science (Insanity & Doom updates resume after Christmas.) "All I Want For Christmas Is Full Communism Now". Not I. It is…
Posted inStatistics
Update: That Silly Asylum Applications & Temperature Fluctuations Paper
Update at bottom. I was asked by Axel Bojanowski, Science Editor at Der Spiegel to examine the Science paper "Asylum applications respond to temperature fluctuations" by Anouch Missirian and Wolfram…
Posted inClass Statistics
Cliodynamics And The Lack Of A Hari Seldon
There will be no Hari Seldon. But there will be prophets. If there is no Seldon, there will be no psychohistory, the fictional astonishingly accurate mathematical science predicting gross human…
Posted inClass Statistics
Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part VI
Review! This class is neither frequentist nor Bayesian nor machine learning in theory. It is pure probability, and unlike any other class available. And for the right price! Last time…
Posted inStatistics
The Sixth and Best Way to Fix Statistics
Nature had Five ways to fix statistics, which asked a few folks, some of whom are our friends, how to shore up the sandy soil of statistics. Thanks to Al…
Posted inClass Statistics
What Is The Probability Of COVFEFE?
From a tweet from Taleb, who informs us the following question is part of the Indian Statistical Institute examination. (5) Mr.Trump decides to post a random message on Facebook and…
Posted inClass Statistics
Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part V
Review! This class is neither frequentist nor Bayesian nor machine learning in theory. It is pure probability, and unlike any other class available. And for the right price! We have…