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Posted inStatistics

Real Climate Temperature “Trend” Article Gets It Wrong (Like So Many Do)

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Everything that can go wrong with a time series analysis has gone wrong with…
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Posted inStatistics

On The Uselessness Of Lie Detector (And Medical) Screenings, And The Ames Spy Case

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xr8BUxVRwFY This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Have you seen the television series The Assets? Dramatization of the Sandy Grimes-Jeanne…
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Posted inStatistics

How’d We Do On Our 2014 Predictions?

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Time to tally. As has become our tradition, each New Year's Eve we see…
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Posted inStatistics

Monty Hall And This Video Prove Probability Is Measure Of Truth

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C5-I0bAuEUE This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. This post is really an excuse to highlight a cute video that's being…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Improper Language About Priors

Suppose you decided (almost surely by some ad hoc rule) that the uncertainty in some thing (call it y) is best quantified by a normal distribution with central parameter θ…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

I Also Declare The Bayesian vs. Frequentist Debate Over For Data Scientists

I stole the title, adding the word "also", from an article by Rafael Irizarry at Simply Stats (tweeted by Diego Kuonen). First, brush clearing. Data scientists. Sounds like galloping bureaucratic…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Podcast Statistics

Podcast: Peer Review, Bob & Ray Do Statistics, Academic Calls For Killing Of (Post-Birth) Babies

[podcast]https://www.wmbriggs.com/audio/wmbriggs_com_12dec2014_0006.mp3[/podcast] Show Notes Wired's PubPeer article. PubPeer.com itself. PubPeer's discussion of "Macroscopic Observability of Spinorial Sign Changes under 2π Rotations". Bob and Ray can be found at, inter alia, the…
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Posted inStatistics

On The Attribution Of A Single Event To Climate Change

Rained yesterday here in the city of cities. Must be because of climate change, right? Hey. The climate did change and it did rain. What more evidence do you want?…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 13, 2025

    The Senate is a bane to America. They are the worst institution of government, sinking even lower than the House.…

  2. spetzer86 on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 13, 2025

    I don't often see log scales applied to graphs outside of research articles. A lot of people don't understand them.…

  3. spetzer86 on Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement Should Be Covert Says Academic Who Says Ticks Should Be Genetically Modified To Stop You Eating MeatAugust 13, 2025

    Climate change is another field where morality can have a very flexible meaning: https://www.npr.org/2012/02/22/147263862/climate-scientist-admits-to-lying-leaking-documents

  4. McChuck on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 13, 2025

    In entirely unrelated news, I finally completed a summary of my research into a very simple adjustment to/replacement for general…

  5. Anthony Probst on Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement Should Be Covert Says Academic Who Says Ticks Should Be Genetically Modified To Stop You Eating MeatAugust 13, 2025

    Check his basement, yes. Then check his belfry for bats. Internal papers of the MK-ULTRA schemers must have had a…

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