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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inStatistics

Live From Heartland Climate Conference, Day Two

What happened to Day One? If I find out, you'll be the first to know. Through the extreme generosity of one of us, I'm here in Las Vegas at Heartland's…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Evolution Under Fixed Constraints; Or, Why Random Changes Don’t Cut It

See if this analogy makes sense. A ramp onto which you loose a ball, which can roll down and fall into one of three slots. The configuration is such that…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Do You Believe In Global Warming Because Of The Seriousness Of The Charges?

An activist tells you, "Based on my theory of rampant, out-of-control global warming, otters, driven mad by the heat, will take to the streets and destroy mankind, just like apes…
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Posted inStatistics

Class Report: How Not To Teach Statistics

It's over. Two solid weeks of 9 to 5 to 9 and beyond statistics. Plus a few cocktails and cookouts and camaraderie. I'm exhausted. The students are mostly later early…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Casual Sex Is Good for You, Says New Biased Study

In a ridiculously biased "study", a researcher has shown that some college students who self-select to participate in a study of "causal" sex and who say they like having "casual"…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probabilities Aren’t Decisions

The title says it all. But its presence implies, and it is true, that people often mistake the two. If you decide to bet fifty bucks the USA beats Germany,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Biggest Error In Regression

I know, I know: we're sick to death of regression, but we have to cover the biggest error, which is how the Deadly Sin of Reification happens. You have a…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Free Will The Result Of ‘Background Noise’?

Once again the lack of metaphysical training has led some scientists to say an incredibly silly thing. That free will "could be the result of 'background noise' in the brain."…
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  1. Mark on In Which I Shockingly Agree With Sabine That Most Science Is Of Little Or No ValueSeptember 22, 2025

    In light of today’s news from the WH, I’m eager to hear what you make of the link between Tylenol…

  2. John Pate on In Which I Shockingly Agree With Sabine That Most Science Is Of Little Or No ValueSeptember 22, 2025

    The powers that be have substituted for religion with Bad Science, it's not wasting money because it's furthering the agendas…

  3. Uncle Mike on In Which I Shockingly Agree With Sabine That Most Science Is Of Little Or No ValueSeptember 22, 2025

    If Bad Science was merely a waste of money, it wouldn't be so bad. Money is wasted all the time,…

  4. Briggs on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 20, 2025

    Glenn, Clearly my enemies, responsible for all typos, are on the Student's side.

  5. JRob on Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like ThisSeptember 19, 2025

    The spurious correlation example is the best proof that p values can't be used. That's what you have to hammer…

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