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Posted inCulture Statistics

A New Possible Solution Of Fermi’s Paradox

What is the probability the following proposition is true? ``There are rational beings other than humans in the universe." Well, given the evidence of angels, who are rational non-human beings,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Correlation Implies Causation

A version of this post originally appeared on 20 October 2012. But after a Twitter conversation with our friend @Neuro_Skeptic, it's time for an addition. Comes a Salon article entitled…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Sexual Immorality, Low Birth Rates, And Religion

Pew Research released a survey on the Global Views on Morality, asking adults in each of several countries whether the following activities were morally unacceptable: Extramarital Affairs, Homosexuality, Abortion, Premarital…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Preface: The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics, An Introduction

%This is the Preface of The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics, An Introduction coming before Preface and before the chapters on Truth and Logic. Note the New & Improved title!…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Is God’s Existence Confirmed By Prophecy Via Probability?

I came across a curious book by Marvin Bittinger, a mathematics educator, called The Faith Equation: One Mathematician's Journey in Christianity. I'm a sucker for books like this, which seek…
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Posted inStatistics

On UFOs, Salt Intake, And Heart Disease

Michael "State of Fear" Crichton once proposed that UFOs were responsible for global warming. Why not? After all, something caused that record amount of snow in Detroit yesterday. Don't get…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Government Per Capita Spending: Up, Up, And Away! Or, Happy Tax Day!

Here it is, folks. Right from WhiteHouse.gov. The amount of Federal Government spending per capita from 1901 to the present and projected out to 2019. Population projections were taken from…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Hot Hand: Statistical Fluke Or Genuine Article?

I'll save you hunting through the text. It's a real thing. If you want to know why, read on. If not, you just tell 'em W.M. Briggs sez so, which…
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  1. gareth on Class 61: Does This Guy Have ESP? IIAugust 16, 2025

    Errr... Calculating the probability of what we did see should be = 100% So why calculate it? (Enquiring minds, etc.)

  2. Johnno on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 14, 2025

    Briggs you fool... what you so outdatingly call cheating, I prefer to see as a more progressive healthy open relationship…

  3. hudbwu on Lying Increases Trust In Science, Says AcademicAugust 14, 2025

    To be fair, the center of this article (that I looked at from the link provided) is a reduction-to-absurd argument…

  4. hudbwu on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 14, 2025

    I love how the scale in the last graph is *LoGaRithMic_!

  5. hudbwu on Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement Should Be Covert Says Academic Who Says Ticks Should Be Genetically Modified To Stop You Eating MeatAugust 14, 2025

    Do you remember the time when craving loonies posted these things not in peer-reviewed journals, but on Internet fora? Man,…

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