Posted inStatistics
George Gilder’s Information Theory Of Money
This is the second part of a review of George Gilder's monograph The 21st Century Case for Gold: A New Information Theory of Money. The first part, about the return…
Posted inCulture Statistics
How Many Lousy Predictions Until Error Is Admitted?
https://twitter.com/EcoSenseNow/status/605381412158500864 Update Breitbart kindly asked to reprint this, and just did. How long does it take for an expert who has, year upon year after year, made predictions of unrealized…
Posted inFun Statistics
Heartland Conference, Statistics Classes, Statistics Books, & Statistical Cups
Heartland Conference I'll be there, speaking Friday on "The Need To Believe In 'The Solution' To Global Warming". This is a paper which I'll try to find a home for…
Posted inCulture Statistics
Why Global Warming Models Are Hot And Bothered
https://twitter.com/EcoSenseNow/status/605381412158500864 Everybody remembers what happened when Lord Christopher Monckton, Willie Soon, David Legates and I published our (what is physics is called) toy model of the climate. Global warming increased!…
Posted inCulture Statistics
This Week In Doom: Bad Science Edition
3 out of 4 scientists agree The bagatelle about how more than half of published research is wrong---a fact well known to regular readers---is garnering comment hither and yon. Joanne…
Posted inStatistics
Lancet Editor: Half Of Science Is Wrong. An Underestimate?
Half of science may be wrong? That may be an underestimate. But at least Richard Horton, the editor in chief of The Lancet, is in the right ballpark. Ballpark? That…
Posted inStatistics
Are Wars And Violence Decreasing? Taleb’s New Paper Reviewed
The vale of tears I've been asked by several people to comment on Pasquale Cirillo and Nassim Nicholas Taleb's paper (thankfully, not peer-reviewed, unless you count this) "On the tail…
Posted inCulture Statistics
The New Pew Religion Survey Isn’t What You Think (Probably)
Lot of chatter over the new Pew survey of religiosity, "Christians Decline Sharply as Share of Population; Unaffiliated and Other Faiths Continue to Grow". Main result: Christianity down, "nones" up.…