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Posted inStatistics

Truth: Logic of Probability and Statistics

Here, as promised, is rough, incomplete, outline-only, not-yet-finished, gist-only version of Chapter 1, Truth, for the book tentatively titled The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics (I'm also toying with The…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Somebody-Might-Get-Hurt! Fallacy

Word is our beneficent government, which loves us and would not see us fall into harm, is working on a design for a system of chains to anchor both citizens…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Boys’ Toys V. Girls’ Toys: Researchers Still Trying To Prove They’re The Same

Last Thursday I was at the warthog park at the butt end of 57th street on the East river, reading and enjoying the rare sunshine. Nannies and moms (mostly nannies)…
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Posted inStatistics

The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics (Book. Sort Of.)

I have decided to let you, dear reader, help me finish my book, which I have tentatively entitled The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics. This is about the seventeenth version…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

My Genes Made Me Vote For Obama: Predisposed Reviewed

Predisposed: Liberals, Conservatives, and the Biology of Political Differences by John Hibbing, Kevin Smith, and John Alford. If a conservative is a person who clings to what is, who resists…
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Posted inStatistics

Another Fool Calls For My Arrest: Or, Adam Weinstein Slips A Nut

Another eek-screeching scrawny-brained bug-witted pretty-boy addled cancerous ferret has called for my arrest. My crime? Sanity. Adam Weinstein (@AdamWeinstein), writing at a place with the puerile name of "Gawker"---come to…
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Posted inBook review Culture Statistics

Party’s Over, Baby: The Twilight of Abundance Reviewed

The Twilight of Abundance: Why Life in the 21st Century Will Be Nasty, Brutish, and Short by David Archibald, visiting Fellow Institute of World Politics. I am a curmudgeon, which…
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Posted inStatistics

On Nate Silver’s Republicans-Take-The-Senate Prediction

Yet the first bringer of unwelcome news Hath but a losing office, and his tongue Sounds ever after as a sullen bell, Remember'd tolling a departing friend. ---Henry IV, part…
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  1. Ronald Conneely on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherNovember 20, 2025

    Great analysis as usual but be careful, you are bordering on that dreded (R----t) area. Would hate to lose your…

  2. Williis Eschenbach on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    Thanks, Matt, that's what I figured, just wanted to verify it. w.

  3. Briggs on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    Willis, Sure, you can change the model to remove the probability leakage. Careful modelers would. The vast majority would not,…

  4. William Ward Eschenbach on Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong WayNovember 20, 2025

    As usual, most fascinating. This may be a foolish question, but since the minimum score is 200, what happens if…

  5. KGB on Black Women Can’t Do Physics As Well As White Men, Says ResearcherNovember 20, 2025

    And if my aunt had balls...

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