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Posted inStatistics

The Logic Puzzle That Is “Stumping The Internet.” Update: Now With Solution

The Washington Post thinks the puzzle above is hideously difficult and says that it has become an "obsession". The writer there certainly finds it sweat-inducing: "As the problem spread far…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Space’s 10 Mistakes People Make When Arguing Science

Reader Ken pointed us to Space.com's click-me-click-me! article "The 10 Mistakes People Make When Arguing Science". Since everybody loves numbered lists, I'll duplicate their efforts here, using their mistakes. Isn't…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Masters Statistics & (Some) Predictions

Here's a view of the winning scores from par since the inception of the tournament. The early years saw little variability, but since the 60s there were a lot more…
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Posted inStatistics

P-Value Hacking Is Finally Being Noticed

Since I'm on the road, all typos today are free of charge. Some reasonably good news to report. A peer-reviewed paper: "The fickle P value generates irreproducible results" by Lewis…
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Posted inStatistics

What Evidence Would Persuade You That Man-Made Climate Change Is Real?

Somebody named Ronald Bailey (he isn't anybody I know) at the inaptly named Reason asked the good question which heads this post. Second thought: the question is awful. No scientist…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Global Warming Hypocrisy: Or, Science Is Politics

Lefties take money, too In an interview with far-left New York Times, activist and part-time scientist Michael Oppenheimer says "nothing follows" from his taking moola from the EDF (Environmental Defense…
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Posted inStatistics

Bill Nye The Science Guy Confuses Scientific Uncertainty Versus Doubt

On the road, so something quick. Reader Paul Mullen writes: Briggs, A fellow at the salt mine was thoughtful enough to leave a copy in the break room of April's…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability’s Empirical Bias

Bit of logic (a favorite example) from our teacher Lewis Carroll: given "All cats understand French and that some chickens are cats", what can we say about the proposition "Some…
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  1. The Solution To Evolution – William M. Briggs on Don’t Panic, But Intelligent Design Is Trivially True (Breathe, Breathe…)November 2, 2026

    […] from the beginning. It had to be, or we would never have gotten water. (I tried making this point…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Class 99: Entropy Part IOctober 31, 2026

    During the summer of 1977, I was living with a woman who had a 2 year old daughter. My brother,…

  3. Ultrarightist on Book Update: Launch DateOctober 29, 2026

    Briggs, Thanks for the reply and the information. That is unfortunate. Hardbacks aren't made like they used to be, and…

  4. McChuck on Class 99: Entropy Part IOctober 29, 2026

    Entropy is described as a numerical rating of chaos. This is more confusing than not, and a poor descriptor, even…

  5. Briggs on Book Update: Launch DateOctober 28, 2026

    Ultrarightist, Apparently not: They use case laminate (also called adhesive case binding or image-wrap) construction: The page block is glued…

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