Statistics – Page 196 – William M. Briggs

On Nate Silver’s Republicans-Take-The-Senate Prediction

Yet the first bringer of unwelcome news Hath but a losing office, and his tongue Sounds ever after as a sullen bell, Remember'd tolling a departing friend. ---Henry IV, part…

Statistics

Evidence Does Not Support Low Consumption Of Total Saturated Fats

The full version of the headline is this: Current evidence does not clearly support cardiovascular guidelines that encourage high consumption of polyunsaturated fatty acids and low consumption of total saturated…

Culture Statistics

HANDY Not So Dandy: NASA-Funded Mathematical Model Of Doom

Mathematically minded Remember back in the 1990s when otherwise intelligent people would look to the scientific literature and say, "Those guys must be right. They used a computer model." A…

Statistics

Pick Your Lotto Numbers With a Greater Chance to Win? Paper From Brazil

The Blaze ran a story with headline "Mathematician Thinks There's a Way to Pick Your Lotto Numbers With a Greater Chance to Win". Turns out Renato Gianella thinks he's discovered…

Culture Statistics

Global Warming Hanger-On Says Ends Justify The Means

A question from the new SAT in Reading Comprehension was leaked: "'The students rushed the platform to prevent the speaker from speaking.' Were these students, (A) progressives, or (B) conservatives?"…

Philosophy Statistics

The One-True-Religion Fallacy. (It’s Not What You Think)

At the end of the eponymous movie, the slave army led by gladiator-cum-general Spartacus (Kirk Dougla) lies defeated before the creator of the First Triumvirate, General Marcus Licinius Crassus (Laurence…

Culture Philosophy Statistics

It’s Time To Lynch Those Who Deny Climate Skepticism

Let us agree with the enlightened that the world is imperfect and ought not to be. The cause of imperfection is human error which ought to be eradicated with extreme…

Culture Statistics

It Was Right To Dumb Down The SAT

It's difficult to design a test such that all those taking it do not all do well nor all do poorly. For instance, suppose the SAT were to consist of…

Rich on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025
I'm presuming that "centrifugal logic" is reasoning that flees from sense.
shawn marshall on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025
all I can say is "Oh my" Romans 1: 16-32 I think
Johnno on Little Nate’s Plan To Save The WorldNovember 9, 2025
Facts and logic are very diverse things. As diverse as peoples, with diverse facts and diverse ways of logicking. Liberal…
Darin Johnson on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 9, 2025
Thank you for your answer, Professor. So the prediction interval is useful for predicting the number of failures among the…
Briggs on Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right WayNovember 8, 2025
Darin, There is no interval around a probability (with esoteric exceptions not of interest to us). All your evidence is…