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Posted inStatistics

Exposure To Fracking Reduces Low-Birth-Weight Babies

Shouldn't a peer-reviewed paper which purports to tie chemicals produced in the manufacture of natural gas (fracking etc.) to birth defects actually measure exposure (of fetus carriers, i.e. "mothers") to…
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Posted inStatistics

We Know The Climate Is Warming Because It Isn’t

What do you call the mental process which allows a man to say "What's firmly established is that the climate is warming" while also holding that "There's been a burst…
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Posted inStatistics

Scared Scientists! Climate Terror!

Picture this The heck with evidence: it's how much you care that counts. That sentiment is what's behind Nick Bowers's new Scared Scientists project. Motto: "Nobody is safe"! The far-left…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Global Warming Non-Expert Expert

Reporteritis is the disease, or rather psychiatric condition, common among journalists, brought on by exposure to important people and events. The exposure causes the journalist to feel that he too…
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Posted inStatistics

Ask A Scientific Ethicist: Baby Making, Auto Mishap, ISIS Attacks

This was supposed to run this morning. No idea why it didn't. This week, three letters from concerned readers. Too many babies Dear Scientific Ethicist, Hopefully this subject matter isn't…
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Posted inStatistics

It Makes No Sense To Say You’re More Likely To Die Of Bee Sting Than Shark Bite

The National Journal says: "The odds of being killed by a shark are about 1 in 3.7 million. The odds of being killed by a sting from a bee, wasp,…
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Posted inStatistics

Decline Of Participation In Religious Rituals With Improved Sanitation

Answer me this. Earl at the end of the bar, on his sixth or seventh, tells listeners just what's wrong with America's science policy. His words receive knowing nods from…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Comments On Dawid’s Prequential Probability

Phil Dawid is a brilliant mathematical statistician who introduced (in 1984) the theory of prequential probability1 to describe a new-ish way of doing statistics. We ought to understand this theory.…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    Logic, empiricism, wisdom... These solvents are without impact for people who have, so often, survived them. I believe this is…

  2. spetzer86 on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    It's interesting that the commenters using AI prove the point that the use of a model yielding apparently random results…

  3. JH on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    When brilliant minds join forces with advanced computers that execute tasks with precision and speed by following instructions, they achieve…

  4. fergus on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    Post script. Looks like you are hiding well, for now, from the AI in the sky. I asked it if…

  5. fergus on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    Did not read the article, just copy/pasted the number list to ChatGPT and it got right back with: Yes —…

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