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How Can A Man Who Loses A Race Be Called The Winner & What Does This Have To Do With Science?
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

How Can A Man Who Loses A Race Be Called The Winner & What Does This Have To Do With Science?

In which we start simple, stay simple, come to Plateau Easy, and the readers begins to wonder why he bothers, which he discovers at the end to his puzzlement. Get…
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There Is No Difference Between A Proposal, Hypothesis, Model, Theory or Law
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

There Is No Difference Between A Proposal, Hypothesis, Model, Theory or Law

Ready for some Logic 101? Something real easy, I promise. We'll use it in service to show why falsificationism is not that interesting, or useful, and we'll need it in…
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There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability

Rationalists, like those at Less Wrong (think Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander), are prone to fetishsize Bayes theorem, seeing it as the key to all thought. It isn't. Bayes is…
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The Multiverse Hides The Problem It Was Supposed To Solve, And Calls It Solved
Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

The Multiverse Hides The Problem It Was Supposed To Solve, And Calls It Solved

Let's end the review of Sabine Hossenfelder's book. We did some already: Emergence, Entropy, and Many Worlds. With this post, we'll have covered the most interesting topics. Old Hoss, and…
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What Are All The Uses To Which (So-Called) Random Numbers Are Put?
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Are All The Uses To Which (So-Called) Random Numbers Are Put?

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute or Gab (to come). From Anon comes the major announcement: "Quside unveils the world’s first Randomness Processing Unit". Quside today unveils its vision…
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What Is A Model? We need to know to test between good and bad science
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is A Model? We need to know to test between good and bad science

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, BitChute, and Gab. Before we describe what models are in science, it's best to know, and to never forget, that all models only say…
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All Those Warnings About Models Are True: Researchers Given Same Data Come To Huge Number Of Conflicting Findings
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

All Those Warnings About Models Are True: Researchers Given Same Data Come To Huge Number Of Conflicting Findings

Seventy-some researcher groups were given identical data, and asked to investigate an identical question. The groups did not communicate. Details are in the paper "Observing Many Researchers Using the Same…
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Probability is Logic
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability is Logic

I was reading a draft of a book our own Fr John Rickert's is working on. Visual Logic: Seeing Classical and Modern Logic: An Introduction, a neat little handbook showing…
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  1. Briggs on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    Spetzer, All good points. I go into many of them later in the chapter.

  2. spetzer86 on How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?June 30, 2025

    If the receiver and sender independently wrote down the guess / card with no verbal communication, it might be better.…

  3. JH on Class 56: The Best Model!June 29, 2025

    How can you make predictions in the big data era without using a model? Trust your gut.

  4. Jonas P. Kay on Which God Are You Rejecting? David Bentley Hart’s The Experience of God, Part IJune 28, 2025

    I answer all by saying you cannot get something from nothing. There is beauty in its simplicity and it is…

  5. Johnno on England’s Mandatory Suicide & WomenJune 27, 2025

    So what's the betting pool on the odds about when and in which country will be the first to perform…

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