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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Evolution Under Fixed Constraints; Or, Why Random Changes Don’t Cut It

See if this analogy makes sense. A ramp onto which you loose a ball, which can roll down and fall into one of three slots. The configuration is such that…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Hot Hand: Statistical Fluke Or Genuine Article?

I'll save you hunting through the text. It's a real thing. If you want to know why, read on. If not, you just tell 'em W.M. Briggs sez so, which…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Free Will The Result Of ‘Background Noise’?

Once again the lack of metaphysical training has led some scientists to say an incredibly silly thing. That free will "could be the result of 'background noise' in the brain."…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Mysticism Of Randomness: Philosophy of Probability & Statistics Video Series

Nothing can be caused by "chance". Chance, like randomness, isn't a thing, it isn't real, it isn't physical, therefore it cannot cause anything. Randomness means "unknown." Therefore "random variables" are…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Are The Chances Of That?

Go ahead and ask me. I'll even pretend to laugh. Just as I chuckle warmly with you when you quote Mark Twain (or Disraeli) abut damned lies. (Secretly, I'll be…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Frequentists Are Closet Bayesians: Confidence Interval Edition

Actually, all frequentists and Bayesians are logical probabilists, but if I put that in the title, few would believe it. A man might call himself an Anti-Gravitational Theorist, a science…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What That Spurious Correlation Website Tells Us About Statistics

Many (thanks!) readers sent links to Tyler Vigen's Spurious Correlations, whose motto is "Discover a new correlation - an interesting spurious correlation each day!" My favorite is tying the yearly…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part II

Read Part I. What is the probability that "The Detroit Tigers win today's game" (which has not yet been played)? The truth of the proposition (in quotes) is not known…
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  1. CCReed on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025

    A somewhat different take on the late Z-Man: https://bestservedcole.substack.com/p/the-z-man-story

  2. CorkyAgain on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025

    I think I stopped listening to radio around the time when Paul Harvey was no longer there to tell us…

  3. The True Nolan on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025

    @Alex: "The other abomination on the am dial is black talk radio. In Chicongo. Pure raciacist hatred of all things…

  4. Cary Cotterman on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025

    I've got a beautifully restored 1936 RCA Victor super-heterodyne "Magic-Eye" console radio with standard broadcast (AM), short-wave, and medium-wave bands,…

  5. Cloudbuster on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025

    "(Note: I was going to recommend Zman for his tight and disciplined podcasts. Alas, this good man died before his…

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