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How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
Posted inStatistics

How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power

Let's first remind ourselves of The Poor Have Less Money Fallacy. This is most commonly seen when the price of a thing rises (which often happens because of government "solutions"),…
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Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
Posted inStatistics

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Richard Dawkins reminds us of the important but neglected Big Muscles Fallacy: "I spent three days trying to persuade myself that Claudia is not conscious. I failed." Here's an equivalent…
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Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

A curious question made its way around the interwebs recently, and not for the first time. By itself, it does not appear to be that interesting. And it isn't, really.…
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UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
Posted inStatistics

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Regular readers know I have been predicting our return to the 1970s (here and here). Not directly, you understand. There will be no bell-bottom pants or leisure suits, but only…
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Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
Posted inStatistics

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
Posted inStatistics

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

A lot of conversations about the differences between the races go like this one about sex. "Briggs, somebody told me you said men are taller than women." I said it.…
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What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
Posted inStatistics

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Might I beg you, if you find it useful, to show this article to those who are growing concerned or agitated about this story? Don't miss the ending. We hear…
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  1. Gail Finke on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 27, 2026

    Guttmacher's numbers of pre-Roe abortions are hugely inflated. They had an interest in making those numbers higher (convincing people that…

  2. Johnno on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 27, 2026

    Well, hopefully they enjoy those longer lives while they last, because there is an eternity in Hell waiting for them…

  3. ~Nona on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 27, 2026

    Self-serving comment? Maybe. BUT it was really interesting to read. As a child I lived next door to a centenarian.…

  4. Cary D Cotterman on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 27, 2026

    When I was a kid, in the 1960s in the U.S., every adult in my family, and most of their…

  5. John Pate on Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living LongerMay 27, 2026

    If they're just keeping dementia patients alive longer because it's profitable for the medical industrial complex then we're not really…

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