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No Class: But Here’s Some Homework
Posted inStatistics

No Class: But Here’s Some Homework

No Class today, or until January 8. So as not to leave you bereft and mournful before the blessed 25th, and to satisfy your epistemological hungerings, here is some homework,…
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On The Form Of Species: ‘Dance To The Tune Of Life’ by Denis Noble Reviewed
Posted inStatistics

On The Form Of Species: ‘Dance To The Tune Of Life’ by Denis Noble Reviewed

Due to the length of yesterday's and today's post, there will be no post tomorrow. Video at bottom. There are two ways to review a book like Denis Noble's Dance…
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How To Tell How Much Of “IQ” Is Inherited & How Much Is Environment
Posted inStatistics

How To Tell How Much Of “IQ” Is Inherited & How Much Is Environment

Due to the length of tomorrow's and today's post, there will be no post Wednesday. Video at bottom. Word is out (I learned via, naturally, Steve Sailer) about a new…
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Class 74: Contra Effect Sizes
Posted inStatistics

Class 74: Contra Effect Sizes

Thanks to whoever sent the Dice (there was no note or name attached). They work! Some are recognizing testing is flawed, but they seek refuge in "effect sizes", which is…
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Academic Argues For Permissibility of Cannibalism, You Racist
Posted inStatistics

Academic Argues For Permissibility of Cannibalism, You Racist

If you are here reading this, because some of you might not be here (if you follow me), be thankful you were not invited to Muzainy Shahiefisally's house for Thanksgiving.…
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I Finally Read James Lindsay’s Manifesto (Yes, He Has A Manifesto)
Posted inStatistics

I Finally Read James Lindsay’s Manifesto (Yes, He Has A Manifesto)

It's called "A Manifesto Against the Enemies of Modernity", co-authored with the aptly surnamed Helen Pluckrose. A fisking would produce an article sized to rival Gibbon, since Lindsay and Pluckrose…
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The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As Simulation
Posted inStatistics

The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As Simulation

If you're an academic, you might think the biggest mistake in science is failing to win the grant, and thus lose the power to calm the Savage Powers that demand…
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Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice
Posted inStatistics

Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice

This is the most in-depth, complicated Class yet. But it has everything. Every probability problem turns out to be just like asking Pr(Dice loaded|Evidence). I hope you stick by this…
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  1. How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions? – William M. Briggs on Register Your Predictions For 2025!December 31, 2025

    […] Blog […]

  2. Tars Tarkas on Why The Drake Equation FailsDecember 30, 2025

    "The Drake and Fermi are not flawed logically: one can put probabilities to any question." The Drake equation always struck…

  3. NLR on Why The Drake Equation FailsDecember 30, 2025

    There may or may not be extraterrestrial life, but if we ever see some, I suspect there will be surprises.…

  4. Douglas Skinner on Why The Drake Equation FailsDecember 30, 2025

    The other bookend paired with the Drake/Fermi speculations is Evolution. In this January's edition of First Things Magazine comes a…

  5. C-Marie on Canada Invents New Euphemism For Doctor KillingsDecember 29, 2025

    God loves you. Let Him take you home when it is time. In the mean time, give to our Father…

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