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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Statistics Really Is: Part Last

Read Part I, Part Paradox, Part II Recapitulation: we have Pr(p|qm) where p is a proposition of interest, q the evidence we have compiled in the form of observations and…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability Is Logic: Philosophy of Probability & Statistics Video Series

I'm starting---and even continuing, if there is interest---a new video series on the philosophy of probability and statistics. Look at those retro production values! I boast of them following Julia…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

On Intelligence & Religiosity

Take a pencil and paper---do this---and write down the most intelligent people who have ever lived. Most brilliant in any field of endeavor, now. Who were the best of us?…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Researchers Invent Exciting New Disease: Poverty Blindness

There must soon come a day at The Onion, the satirical newspaper, when the editors will gather in bewilderment and say to each other, "Fellas, there's no use. The real…
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Posted inStatistics

Scientists Discover Men Enjoy Looking At Women’s Breasts.

Regular readers will recall there are two main kinds of bad statistics. First is when the technique has been done wrong or is misapplied. Errors of this kind comprise only…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Statistics Really Is: Part II

Read Part I, Part Paradox I claimed, and it is true, that all statistical problems could be written $latex \Pr(p|q)$, where p is a proposition of interest and q is…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Statistics Really Is: Paradox Digression

Read Part I We're taking a small digression to answer a question put by Deborah Mayo in Part I, pointing to this article on her site. Mayo should be on…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Statistics Really Is: Part I

It's so simple that you'll think I'm kidding. Worse, the way I'll show it is such a radical departure from the manner in which you're used to thinking about probability…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital TwinsJanuary 27, 2026

    DTs? I think that condition is generally managed with benzodiazepines...no?

  2. Cary D Cotterman on Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital TwinsJanuary 27, 2026

    When the Digital Twin is tasked to prophesy the effect of an mRNA shot on a patient, given the leftist…

  3. Leonard on Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital TwinsJanuary 27, 2026

    The software company I worked for used “Digital Twin” in its marketing at least 15 years ago.

  4. Neil Jordan on Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital TwinsJanuary 27, 2026

    Thank you for explaining the DTs. The term crept into civil engineering over the years and I interpreted it in…

  5. Tars Tarkas on Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital TwinsJanuary 27, 2026

    "AI-powered technology" That sounds even better than a digital twin. "AI-Powered" is to "technology" what the supercharger is to an…

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