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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inCulture Statistics

Lord, Save Us From Impact Factors

Randy Schekman, a Big Cheese in the sciences, is right: people use "place of publication as a proxy for quality of science". Where a paper is often counts more than…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is And What We Know Of It, Probabilistically Speaking

Ontology is the study of what is and what is not. Epistemology is the study of our knowledge of what is and what is not. Though there are obvious points…
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Posted inStatistics

Is It Okay To Force A Baker To Sell Cakes In Violation Of His Religious Conscience?

Here's the setup: a Colorado judge has ordered a Christian man and owner of a bakery that he must bake cakes for homosexual civil ceremonies (homosexual "marriage" is illegal in…
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Posted inStatistics

The Top Five Mistakes In Marketing Statistics

Forgive me the title, won't you? It is my own creation, I admit, but numbered promises are eminently clickable. Plus they are the norm in business writing. Anyway, the real…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Scientism, Legalism and Precaution: Regulating Nutrition and Health Claims in Europe

Announcing a new paper, with official title "Scientism, Legalism and Precaution -- Contending with Regulating Nutrition and Health Claims in Europe" in European Food and Feed Law Review by Jaap…
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Posted inStatistics

Twenty Tips For Interpreting Scientific Claims

Title of today's post is taken from article of the same name in Nature by William Sutherland, David Spiegelhalter, Mark Burgman. Several readers asked me to comment. I'll assume you've…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Friedrich A. Hayek’s Lecture “The Pretense of Knowledge”

This was reprinted in the Wall Street Journal over the weekend. I've chopped it into parts for commenting. To act on the belief that we possess the knowledge and the…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Random Means In Random Number Generation

Thinking about one-time pads reminded me to point this out. It's simple, really. A "random" number generator spits out a string of numbers or characters from some set, say c1,…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on Happy New Year!January 1, 2026

    Happy New Year, Briggs. Keep up the good work.

  2. McChuck on Happy New Year!January 1, 2026

    Happy New Year! May your health and finances be stable or improving.

  3. Johnno on Why The Drake Equation FailsJanuary 1, 2026

    The Drake Equation, like Da Theory of da Evolution, and Relativity Math-a-Magics with Time-pretzel-balloons, all exist to keep Atheism afloat…

  4. Johnno on How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?December 31, 2025

    I was right about the right! Conservative estimating does work! Always aim for mediocrity! The formula for success! Or at…

  5. John Pate on Why The Drake Equation FailsDecember 31, 2025

    Seems to me the obvious reason for the state of the world as we see it is that aliens are…

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