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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability Is Logic: Philosophy of Probability & Statistics Video Series

I'm starting---and even continuing, if there is interest---a new video series on the philosophy of probability and statistics. Look at those retro production values! I boast of them following Julia…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

On Intelligence & Religiosity

Take a pencil and paper---do this---and write down the most intelligent people who have ever lived. Most brilliant in any field of endeavor, now. Who were the best of us?…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Researchers Invent Exciting New Disease: Poverty Blindness

There must soon come a day at The Onion, the satirical newspaper, when the editors will gather in bewilderment and say to each other, "Fellas, there's no use. The real…
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Posted inStatistics

Scientists Discover Men Enjoy Looking At Women’s Breasts.

Regular readers will recall there are two main kinds of bad statistics. First is when the technique has been done wrong or is misapplied. Errors of this kind comprise only…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Statistics Really Is: Part II

Read Part I, Part Paradox I claimed, and it is true, that all statistical problems could be written $latex \Pr(p|q)$, where p is a proposition of interest and q is…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Statistics Really Is: Paradox Digression

Read Part I We're taking a small digression to answer a question put by Deborah Mayo in Part I, pointing to this article on her site. Mayo should be on…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Statistics Really Is: Part I

It's so simple that you'll think I'm kidding. Worse, the way I'll show it is such a radical departure from the manner in which you're used to thinking about probability…
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Posted inStatistics

Statistics Talk: Chances Are You’re Doing It Wrong

The problem with statistics is the astonishing amount of magical thinking tolerated. A statistician---or his apprentice; this means you---waving a formula over a dataset is little different than an alchemist…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    Logic, empiricism, wisdom... These solvents are without impact for people who have, so often, survived them. I believe this is…

  2. spetzer86 on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    It's interesting that the commenters using AI prove the point that the use of a model yielding apparently random results…

  3. JH on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    When brilliant minds join forces with advanced computers that execute tasks with precision and speed by following instructions, they achieve…

  4. fergus on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    Post script. Looks like you are hiding well, for now, from the AI in the sky. I asked it if…

  5. fergus on All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A ModelMarch 27, 2026

    Did not read the article, just copy/pasted the number list to ChatGPT and it got right back with: Yes —…

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