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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Alternative To P-Values

I apologize for the abruptness of the notation. It will be understandable only to a few. I don't like to use it without sufficient background because the risk of reification…
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Posted inFun Statistics

My Complete And Utter Lack Of Business Sense

I can derive the Omega equation, can tell you why clouds float, and I know what number comes after א0, but I couldn't sell fire to an Eskimo. Not for…
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Everything Wrong With P-Values Under One Roof
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Everything Wrong With P-Values Under One Roof

Update 8 January 2019. This post has been superseded! There is an official paper of this material, greatly expanded and vetted. SEE THIS NEW POST. THE NEW PAPER: Here is…
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Posted inStatistics

On The Intersection Of Scientist And Politicians—Guest Post by An Engineer

"An Engineer" is a gentleman who has practiced Civil, Mechanical and Industrial Engineering for more than 40 years. He has been granted patents for a number of practical inventions, and…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part IV

Read Part I, II, III. We are nearly at the point where we can say something about the candidate proposition of interest: "Treatment cures cancer of the albondigas." It is…
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Posted inStatistics

Confirmation Bias Happens To The Other Guy

Yet another entry in a long and endless series of experiments which show people often see what they want. Twist in this new one is that people who aren't too…
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Posted inStatistics

Use The Wrong P-value, Go To Jail: Not A Joke: Updated With Amicus Brief

Today's lesson: If the government wants you bad enough, it will get you. If that isn't already obvious, consider what befell W. Scott "Don't Call Me Baron" Harkonen. Just kidding…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part III

Read Part I, Part II first. All other propositions are contingent. For example, it is not necessarily true that your treatment should be a cure for cancer of the albondigas…
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  1. Briggs on Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science FailsMarch 2, 2026

    Now Anonymous, you can't think this is an original objection, not after 2,000 years. Aristotle's, and later others, show why…

  2. Anonymous on Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science FailsMarch 2, 2026

    This is like a 14 square puzzle where you keep moving the logical inconsistency around, but never eliminating it. Both…

  3. Htos1av on Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; StationarityMarch 1, 2026

    great

  4. Tracy Platt on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 26, 2026

    What I miss even more than the ticket is a day skiing at Brighton for $1.10. Carumba! O.K, i dont…

  5. hudbwu on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 25, 2026

    P.S. And don't for a moment think we've escaped from the crutches of oblivion that ate all those books! A…

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