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Posted inStatistics

Müller lite: Why Every Scientist Needs a Classical Training—Christopher Monckton of Brenchley

His Lordship sent this around to all the usual suspects asking that it be given a wide audience. I'm traveling today. About 18 months ago, as soon as I heard…
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Posted inStatistics

Richard Muller’s Political Move—BEST is Best? Sophisticated Statistics!

Our Berkeley Earth approach used sophisticated statistical methods developed largely by our lead scientist, Robert Rohde, which allowed us to determine earth land temperature much further back in time. Ah,…
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Posted inStatistics

Doctors For Disaster Preparedness Talk

Here's the PDF of my talk DDP 30th Annual Meeting. "Statistical Follies and Epidemiology." They picked the title. Have fun!
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

True Value Of A Parameter

Jelle de Jong writes in to ask: Working as a quant analyst in finance I recently got interested in the Briggsian/Jaynesian/Bayesian interpretation of probability but am still struggling a bit…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Probably Isn’t: Heat Waves and Nine Feet Tall Men: Part II

McKibben's Folly Suppose it is true that we have E = "A six-sided object, just one side of which is labeled 6, and when tossed only one side will show."…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Probably Isn’t: Heat Waves and Nine Feet Tall Men: Part I

Probability is screwy, and we statisticians do a horrible, rotten job of teaching it. The first thing students learn in normal statistics classes is about "measures of central tendency" or…
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Posted inStatistics

Men Nine Feet Tall And Bayes Theorem

The OFloinn put up a most readable and recommended essay When is Weather Really "Climate"? and in one of the comments a reader named Gyan in part said: Many economists…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Decline And Increase Of Mainstream Religions In The USA: With Pictures!

The Episcopals, like many other old guard protesting religions, are in trouble. Jay Akasie tells us that at this year's annual conclave, the Episcopalian leadership had their most serious discussions…
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  1. gareth on Class 61: Does This Guy Have ESP? IIAugust 16, 2025

    Errr... Calculating the probability of what we did see should be = 100% So why calculate it? (Enquiring minds, etc.)

  2. Johnno on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 14, 2025

    Briggs you fool... what you so outdatingly call cheating, I prefer to see as a more progressive healthy open relationship…

  3. hudbwu on Lying Increases Trust In Science, Says AcademicAugust 14, 2025

    To be fair, the center of this article (that I looked at from the link provided) is a reduction-to-absurd argument…

  4. hudbwu on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 14, 2025

    I love how the scale in the last graph is *LoGaRithMic_!

  5. hudbwu on Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement Should Be Covert Says Academic Who Says Ticks Should Be Genetically Modified To Stop You Eating MeatAugust 14, 2025

    Do you remember the time when craving loonies posted these things not in peer-reviewed journals, but on Internet fora? Man,…

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