Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics
Obamacare Predictions: How’d We Do So Far?
One of life's real pleasures, though it lessens us to admit it, is when we get to say I told you so. Nobody in the world, except those who believe…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Why Falsifiability, Though Flawed, Is Alluring: Part I
A theory is said not to be scientific unless it is falsifiable. This is an understandable definition, but as something philosophically useful it fails because most theories scientists hold are…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Logical Probability Data Analysis, Measurement Error Example
Read the introduction to this first. If you don't, you will be lost, lost, lost. Logical probability answer to B The answer to B follows from A. The picture is…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Do Means Mean?
Update In order that it does not get lost over the weekend, part two of this post will run on Sunday. This is part one of a two part post,…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Alternative To P-Values
I apologize for the abruptness of the notation. It will be understandable only to a few. I don't like to use it without sufficient background because the risk of reification…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Everything Wrong With P-Values Under One Roof
Update 8 January 2019. This post has been superseded! There is an official paper of this material, greatly expanded and vetted. SEE THIS NEW POST. THE NEW PAPER: Here is…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
On The Evidence From Experiments: Part IV
Read Part I, II, III. We are nearly at the point where we can say something about the candidate proposition of interest: "Treatment cures cancer of the albondigas." It is…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
On The Evidence From Experiments: Part III
Read Part I, Part II first. All other propositions are contingent. For example, it is not necessarily true that your treatment should be a cure for cancer of the albondigas…