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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Oh Good, We Have Consensus About Climate Change

See if you agree with me: agreeing with me isn't proof that that which we agree about is true. Doesn't mean that that which we agree about is wrong, neither,…
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Posted inStatistics

Where’s Your Poppy? — The Blonde Bombshell Speaks

Memorial Day in the Midwest isn't just celebrated on the last Monday of May, but it starts weeks before when volunteers from the local VFW stage themselves in front of…
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Posted inStatistics

Top 15 Posts Of All Time: My Choice

When last we met, that sodden yet miserably cold, supposedly summer-ish day, we gandered at the top 20 posts of all time, as decided by you, the reader. It's not…
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Posted inStatistics

The Sexual Habits Of The Tunisian Male Quantified At Last

You know that we have begun at the peak and that it's all downhill when a scientific paper starts with a sentence like this: La sexualité occupe une place très…
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Posted inStatistics

People Growing Dumber Or Research Growing Slacker?

If there was ever a paper which was in danger of refuting itself by its title, this is it. "Were the Victorians cleverer than us? The decline in general intelligence…
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Posted inStatistics

What’s The Official Name For Governance By Thuggery?

To summarize what we know, but only in brief and leaving out many smaller scandals: The White House lied about the cause of Benghazi. They knowingly, willingly, and falsely claimed…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part Final: Parameters!

(All the stuff in this series is, in a fuller form, in my new upcoming book, which is tentatively called Logical Probability and Statistics---but I've only changed the title 342…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part IV

Read Part III Just review and clarification this time, folks. Dirty hard work. But necessary given the confusion from last post. Time to pump some neurons! Next time we---finally!---get to…
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  1. JRob on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 14, 2026

    Wow, Wow, Wow! Someone else used the exaggeration method! Years ago I tried to figure out the Monte Hall problem…

  2. McChuck on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 13, 2026

    There is a simpler, less math-intensive solution that gives the same answer. Knowing that it doesn't take two men to…

  3. R W Pearson on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    This is easy, go in the door he came out. Worse case only one young scold to give you a…

  4. Mocheirge on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    I asked an AI, and it had the same answer as me but with silly Bayes equations. Then out of…

  5. Johnno on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 12, 2026

    We should make it a law that whenever a criminal is sentened to death, that the only method to delay…

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